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NFL Week 12 betting advice: Eagles-Bills pick and props

Philadelphia Eagles v Kansas City Chiefs Photo by David Eulitt/Getty Images

Steve Maltepes, known as “The Philly Godfather,” will impart his gambling wisdom on the Eagles and where the smart money is going on various pro football games each weekend this season. Maltepes is one of the nation’s hottest sports betting experts who appears weekly on national radio and has his own website, www.thephillygodfather.com [thephillygodfather.com].

Buffalo Bills (6-5) at Philadelphia Eagles (9-1), 4:25 p.m. Sunday

The Line: Eagles minus-3/Total: 48.5

What is the line telling you:

This price originally opened up with the Eagles being small 3.5 point home favorites over the Bills with a combined total set at 48.5, and since then, we’ve seen some sharp money hit the sports betting screen on Buffalo, which forced oddsmakers to adjust the price down to that key number of three.

Buffalo has lost four games this year by one score or less and that’s not counting the OT loss to the Jets in the first game of the season. The Bills have a better point differential on the season, which ranks fourth best in the NFL. The Bills are also playing for their playoff lives and this is a must win for the Bills.

On the other hand, the Eagles are coming off another lucky win against the Chiefs, and this week, Philly’s luck may finally run out.

Bottom line: We like Buffalo here at plus-3. Anytime you face a top-five defense like the Eagles did last week, the following week you will see a regression in performance.

Eagles game props

Jalen Hurts under 243.5 passing yards

D’Andre Swift anytime TD at minus-105

What is the line telling you:

The Bills have one of the worst run defenses in the NFL, which should pay dividends for Swift. On the other side, Buffalo’s strength on defense is its pass defense, which ranks No. 9 in the NFL in opponent yards per pass attempt.

(Betting lines are subject to change.)

The Philly Godfather can be followed on twitter @Phillygodfather [twitter.com] & his website is www.thephillygodfather.com [thephillygodfather.com]. Watch the best gambling show there is, The Sports Betting Show, 6 pm-8 pm ET live every Thursday available on Jakib YouTube, Action YouTube and Sirius XM channel 159.


Joseph Santoliquito is a hall of fame, award-winning sportswriter based in the Philadelphia area who has written feature stories for SI.com, ESPN.com, NFL.com, MLB.com, Deadspin and The Philadelphia Daily News. In 2006, he was nominated for an Emmy Award for a special project piece for ESPN.com called “Love at First Beep.” He is most noted for his award-winning ESPN.com feature on high school wrestler A.J. Detwiler in February 2006, which appeared on SportsCenter. In 2015, he was elected president of the Boxing Writers Association of America.

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