clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Eagles 2022 first-round pick tracker: Week 11 edition

Keeping an eye on the Colts and Dolphins.

Syndication: The Indianapolis Star Robert Scheer/IndyStar / USA TODAY NETWORK

The Philadelphia Eagles will potentially own three first-round picks in the 2022 NFL Draft. Two picks are for certain: their own and the Miami Dolphins’ selection. The pick they’re owed from the Indianapolis Colts, however, is a conditional second-round pick that can be elevated to a first if Carson Wentz either 1) plays at least 75% of the snaps OR 2) he plays 70% AND makes the playoffs. We’re going to keep track of all of three of these picks on a weekly basis here at BGN.


COLTS PICK

CURRENTLY: No. 16 overall

WEEK 11: The Colts are 6-5 after beating the Bills in Buffalo. Pretty good win for Indy. Carson Wentz didn’t do much with his arm, completing just 55% of his attempts for 106 yards (5.3 average), 1 TD, 0 INT, and a 86.7 passer rating. Indy instead rode potential MVP candidate Jonathan Taylor, who scored FIVE touchdowns, to victory. As a result, the Colts are threatening to for a wild card spot, which isn’t good news for the Eagles. The Birds will hope that Indy falters down the stretch and falls out of the AFC playoff picture to make that first-round pick as favorable as possible. Wentz played 62 of the Colts’ 69 snaps in Week 11, putting him at 723/735 on the season. 98.4% means the Eagles are currently set to receiver Indy’s first-round pick. (The Colts took Wentz out on their final drive as they were up by 26 points with about five minutes remaining.) With the Colts averaging 66.8 snaps per game, they’re on track for about 1,135 this season. Using that projection, Wentz has played about 63.7% of their snaps. At this rate, Wentz will meet the 75% threshold with two more games played (Week 13).

WEEK 10: The Colts are 5-5 after beating the Jaguars. Wentz didn’t look great against Jacksonville, logging just a 78.1 passer rating. Regardless, Wentz played all 64 of the Colts’ snaps in Week 10, putting him at 661/666 on the season. 99.2% means the Eagles are currently set to receive Indy’s first-round pick. With the Colts averaging 66.6 snaps per game, they’re on track for about 1,132 this season. Using that projection, Wentz has played 58.4% of their snaps. At this rate, Wentz will meet the 75% threshold with three more games played (Week 13). The Colts will certainly not be benching him before then since they’re in the hunt for a wild card spot in the AFC playoff picture. On that note, the Eagles will be rooting for Indy to lose in Buffalo next week to distance the Colts from making the postseason.

WEEK 9: The Colts are 4-5 after beating the Jets on Thursday Night Football. There’s an argument to be made an Indy win was preferable since it keeps them alive in the playoff picture and decreases the risk of Carson Wentz being benched. Wentz played all 62 of the Colts’ snaps in Week 9, putting him at 597/602 on the season. 99.2% means the Eagles are currently set to receive Indy’s first-round pick. With the Colts averaging 66.9 snaps per game, they’re on track for about 1,137 snaps this season. Using that projection, Wentz has played 52.9% of their snaps. At this rate, Wentz will meet the 75% threshold with four more games played (Week 13). With the Colts playing the Jags next, Indy could very well be 5-5. Wentz definitely isn’t going to get benched before Week 13 in that scenario.

WEEK 8: The Colts are 3-5 after losing to the Titans in overtime. The Eagles didn’t have a crystal clear rooting interest in this matchup but it’s probably preferable that Tennessee won to help keep Indy away from the AFC South lead. The Titans are 6-2 and now have the all-important head-to-head tiebreaker. The Colts loss in no small part to Carson Wentz’s recklessness. He threw a pick-six with his left-hand while under pressure before he gave away the game with an OT interception. Wentz played all 80 of the Colts’ snaps in Week 8, putting him at 535/540 on the season. 99.1% means the Eagles are currently set to receive Indy’s first-round pick. With the Colts averaging 67.5 snaps per game, they’re on track for about 1,147 snaps this season. Using that projection, Wentz has played 47.1% of their snaps. At this rate, Wentz will meet the 75% threshold with five more games played (Week 13). There’s been concern that the Colts might bench him to protect the pick but I wouldn’t worry about that if I were you. They have some winnable games coming up; three of their next five include tilts against NYJ, JAX, and HOU. They’re not going to be sitting him down before early December.

WEEK 7: The Colts are 3-4 after beating the 49ers on Sunday Night Football. The Eagles needed the Colts to win this game, especially with Tennessee unexpectedly pulling off back-to-back wins over Buffalo and Kansas City. Carson Wentz played all 68 of the Colts’ snaps in Week 7, putting him at 455/460 on the season 98.9% means the Eagles are currently set to receive Indy’s first-round pick. With the Colts averaging 65.7 snaps per game, they’re on track for about 1,117 snaps this season. Using that projection, Wentz has played 40.7% of their snaps. At this rate, Wentz will meet the 75% threshold with six more games played (Week 13).

WEEK 6: The Colts are 2-4 after blowing out the Texans. The Eagles needed Indy to win this one to keep them alive in the AFC South. Carson Wentz played all 48 of the Colts’ snaps in Week 6, putting him at 387/392 on the season. 98.7% means the Eagles are currently set to receive Indy’s first-round pick. The Colts even played Wentz on three snaps when they had a 28-point lead with just a few minutes to play in the fourth quarter. How generous of them. With the Colts averaging 65.3 snaps per game, they’re on track for about 1,110 snaps this season. Using that projection, Wentz has played 34.9% of their snaps. At this rate, Wentz will meet the 75% threshold with seven more games played. TL;DR - The Eagles are in a good spot to get Indy’s first-round pick.

WEEK 5: The Colts are 1-4 after losing to the Ravens on Monday Night Football. The game was a perfect result for the Eagles in that Carson Wentz played well and didn’t miss a snap in a close Indy loss. For those worrying about the Colts benching Wentz, they’re not going to sit him if he’s playing well. Besides, they have some winnable games coming up on their schedule while the Titans have some tougher ones coming up. It’s not like Tennessee is going to run away with the AFC South. Wentz played all 69 of the Colts’ snaps in Week 5, putting him at 339/344 on the season. 98.5% means the Eagles are currently set to receive Indy’s first-round pick. The Colts are currently at No. 6 overall in the 2022 NFL Draft order.

WEEK 4: The Colts are 1-3 after beating Miami on Sunday. Great outcome for the Eagles. Had Indy lost, the Colts would’ve been one step closer to eventually benching Wentz to protect their first-round pick. Instead, this Colts win — combined with a surprising Titans loss to the Jets — buys Wentz more time as Indy is very much alive in a really bad AFC South. Wentz played all 71 of the Colts’ snaps in Week 4, putting him at 270/275 on the season. 98.2% means the Eagles are currently set to receive Indy’s first-round pick. The Colts are currently at No. 8 overall in the 2022 NFL Draft order.

WEEK 3: The Colts are 0-3 after losing a key divisional game to the Tennessee Titans on Sunday. Unsurprisingly, Wentz struggled to play well on two injured ankles. He completed just 51.4% of his passes for 5.2 yards per attempt and a 66.7 passer rating. The good news for the Eagles is that Wentz played all 61 of the Colts’ snaps in Week 3, putting him at 199/204 on the season. 97.5% means the Eagles are currently set to receive Indy’s first-round pick. The Colts are currently at No. 3 overall in the 2022 NFL Draft order. If things continue to spiral at this rate, Indy will be incentivized to bench Wentz to protect their pick. The Eagles need the Colts to win just enough to stay alive in the AFC playoff picture. Eagles fans should be rooting for a Colts win over Miami next weekend.

WEEK 2: Exactly no one will be shocked to hear that Wentz is hurt again. The Colts’ starting quarterback tweaked his ankle during Indy’s loss to the Los Angeles Rams. How much time, if any, Wentz will miss currently remains to be seen as he awaits MRI results. Obviously not good for the Eagles if he ends up being out for an extended period. Wentz played 62 out of the Colts’ 67 snaps in Week 2, putting him at 138/143 snaps on the season. 96.5% means the Eagles are currently set to receive Indy’s first-round pick, which is located at No. 4 overall with the Colts dropping 0-2. But, again, Wentz might be in jeopardy of missing playing time. And the Colts have incentive to bench him to prevent the first-round pick from conveying if they lose a lot moving forward.

WEEK 1: The Carson Wentz era in Indy isn’t off to a great start. The Colts lost their opening game to the Seattle Seahawks, 28 to 16. There’s already a lot of excuse-making going around that Wentz didn’t have enough time to throw the ball. Which is weird because all we heard is how Wentz is going to absolutely thrive behind the Colts’ offensive line. And it’s not like Wentz was getting the ball out quick; he had the fifth slowest time-to-throw in Week 1 according to NFL Next Gen Stats. But, whatever. The important part is that Wentz played all 76 of the Colts’ offensive snaps, starting him out at 100%. This means the Colts currently owe their first-round pick to the Eagles. The pick is currently at No. 9 overall in the 2022 NFL Draft order, per Tankathon. More losses might only be on the way for the Colts with the next seven games coming up: vs. LAR, at TEN, at MIA, at BAL, vs. HOU, at SF, vs. TEN. How many do they win in that stretch?


DOLPHINS PICK

CURRENTLY: No. 8 overall

WEEK 11: The Dolphins are 4-7 after beating the Jets. The Eagles probably aren’t getting a top five pick from Miami now. Heck, maybe not even a top 10 selection. The Dolphins still have some winnable games coming up. Their next four: vs. CAR, vs. NYG, vs. NYJ, at NO.

WEEK 10: The Dolphins are 3-7 after upsetting the Ravens on Thursday Night Football. Thanks for nothing, Baltimore. The bad news for the Eagles is that Miami has more winnable games coming up. The Dolphins’ next four: at NYJ, vs. CAR, vs. NYG, vs. NYJ. Decent chance they win at least two of those games. The Dolphins getting to five wins would certainly drop their pick owed to Philly out of the top five in the 2022 NFL Draft.

WEEK 9: The Dolphins are 2-7 after beating the Texans. Miami finally got to play a team that’s worse than them. To their credit, the Dolphins won with Jacoby Brissett unexpectedly starting because Tua Tagovailoa is dealing with a fractured finger that could also cause him to miss Thursday’s game against Baltimore. Miami is staring 2-8 in the face.

WEEK 8: The Dolphins are 1-7 after losing to the Bills. Miami kept the game closer than expected until Buffalo pulled away towards the end. The Dolphins actually fell in the draft order despite losing since Houston’s strength of schedule tiebreaker (.492) dropped below Miami’s (.500). The Eagles will be rooting for the Texans and Lions to somehow find some wins while the Dolphins hopefully continue to lose.

WEEK 7: The Dolphins are 1-6 after losing to the Falcons. Tua Tagovailoa left the field with the lead but Atlanta was ultimately able to position themselves for a game-winning field goal. NFL trade rumors indicate the Dolphins might trade for Deshaun Watson, so that’s something to watch. He’d obviously be an upgrade over Tua. Then again, Miami’s defense is still bad.

WEEK 6: The Dolphins are 1-5 after losing to a Jaguars team that hadn’t won a game since Week 1 of the 2020 season. If Miami can lose to Urban Meyer, they can lose to any team in the league. It’s not impossible that they send the No. 1 overall pick to the Eagles. Now, is that likely? Probably not. There are other bad teams and the Dolphins will play some of them (ATL, HOU, NYG, NYJ twice). But the Dolphins clearly aren’t good. At the very least, this pick will probably be in the top five.

WEEK 5: The Dolphins are 1-4 after getting blown out by the Buccaneers. Miami has been outscored 131 to 62 since Jacoby Brissett took over at quarterback. Yikes. The good news for the Dolphins (and bad news for the Eagles) is that they play the Jaguars this week. They also might be getting Tua Tagovailoa back. If Miami can’t beat Jacksonville, they’re serious contenders for No. 1 overall.

WEEK 4: Miami’s loss to the Colts dropped the Dolphins to 1-3. Great result for Philly. The Dolphins are currently picking at No. 4 in the 2022 NFL Draft order. There’s a decent chance the Fish drop to 1-4 with a road game against the Bucs up next. Things aren’t trending well for Miami. Of course, their outlook might change if the Dolphins pull the trigger on a Deshaun Watson trade. That’s certainly something to monitor ahead of the Nov. 2 trade deadline.

WEEK 3: It looked like the Raiders might blow it but Eagles fans will be happy to see that Las Vegas edged out the Dolphins in overtime to drop Miami to 1-2. Jacoby Brissett gave the Fish a good effort in relief of Tua Tagovailoa, who was recently placed on injured reserve, but he ultimately logged just 4.4 yards per attempt to go with a 74.8 passer rating. Brian Flores gets his players to play hard for him but the Dolphins are a flawed and hardly a lock to go to the playoffs. In more good news for the Eagles, the Bills won on Sunday, extending Buffalo’s lead in the AFC East. If the season ended today, which it doesn’t the Dolphins would be at No. 6 in the 2022 NFL Draft order.

WEEK 2: The Dolphins got absolutely destroyed by the Buffalo Bills on Sunday, 35 to 0. Tua Tagovailoa was carted off the field with a rib injury after just four pass attempts. The extent of Tua’s injury is currently unknown but it’s never a great to have your starting quarterback leave the game like that. Jacoby Brissett is a solid backup — in theory, at least — but he stunk in relief duty with just 4.2 yards per attempt and a 59.3 passer rating. Gross. The Dolphins’ outlook isn’t so rosy right now. Miami is currently 10th overall in the 2022 NFL Draft order, per Tankathon.

WEEK 1: The Dolphins narrowly defeated the New England Patriots on Sunday, 17 to 16. That’s annoying. Miami is currently the only team in the AFC East to win with the Buffalo Bills suffering a home loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers and the New York Jets losing to the Carolina Panthers. The Jets are likely going to finish last in their division but the Pats and/or Bills have a chance to finish ahead of the Dolphins. The Eagles will hope that happens to keep Miami’s pick as low as possible. It’s currently at No. 20 overall in the 2022 NFL Draft order, per Tankathon.


EAGLES PICK

CURRENTLY: No. 11 overall

WEEK 11: The 5-6 Eagles still own the No. 11 pick after beating the Saints.

WEEK 10: The 4-6 Eagles own the No. 11 pick after beating the Broncos.

WEEK 9: The 3-6 Eagles own the No. 8 pick after losing a close one to the Chargers.

WEEK 8: The 3-5 Eagles own the No. 8 pick after stomping the Lions.

WEEK 7: The 2-5 Eagles own the No. 6 pick after losing to the Raiders. Not impossible to think the Birds could lose to the winless Lions and move further up the draft order. Might honestly be what’s best for the team in the long run.

WEEK 6: The 2-4 Eagles own the No. 8 pick after losing to the Buccaneers.

WEEK 5: The 2-3 Eagles own the the No. 10 pick after beating the Panthers.

WEEK 4: The 1-3 Eagles are currently at No. 9 in the 2022 NFL Draft order.

WEEK 3: TheEagles dropped to 1-2 with a loss to the Cowboys on Monday Night Football.

WEEK 2: The 1-1 Eagles are currently at No. 16 in the 2022 NFL Draft order, per Tankathon.

WEEK 1: The 1-0 Eagles are currently at No. 23 overall in the 2022 NFL Draft order, per Tankathon. We all know that’s inaccurate, though, since they’ll obviously be picking at No. 32 after going 20-0 en route to another Super Bowl win.