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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 5 Games

Here are some suggestions when trying to beat the odds.

Kansas City Chiefs v Philadelphia Eagles Photo by Mitchell Leff/Getty Images

Before the fifth Sunday of the 2021 NFL regular season kicks off, let’s have some fun by taking a look at the spreads for the Week 5 games. You can CLICK HERE for straight up NFL picks without regard to the spread. You can find all of the NFL betting lines via DraftKings SportsBook.

My overall record so far is 34-30. That’s better than the BGN Community, which is 30-34.

Here are the latest suggestions when trying to beat the odds.

NFL WEEK 5 GAMES

NEW YORK JETS at ATLANTA FALCONS (-3): What a boring matchup. Even if the game turns out to be better than expected, who really cares about the outcome? I guess I’ll go with the Jets because they lack talent and were fortunate to get a win last week. Don’t think they’re good enough to win two in a row. But it’s hard to feel great betting on the Falcons. Ugh. PICK: Falcons -3

Poll

Which bet do you like more?

This poll is closed

  • 35%
    Jets +3
    (21 votes)
  • 64%
    Falcons -3
    (38 votes)
59 votes total Vote Now

GREEN BAY PACKERS (-2.5) at CINCINNATI BENGALS: I don’t think it’s impossible the Bengals can pull off the upset here. The Packers being without Jaire Alexander is significant as their pass defense could very well get exposed by Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase. Then again, this is a Cincy team that wasn’t looking all that great against the Jags not so long ago. And betting against Aaron Rodgers isn’t fruitful. PICK: Packers -2.5

Poll

Which bet do you like more?

This poll is closed

  • 70%
    Packers -2.5
    (47 votes)
  • 29%
    Bengals +2.5
    (20 votes)
67 votes total Vote Now

MIAMI DOLPHINS at TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (-10): The Dolphins have been outscored 86 to 45 since Jacoby Brissett took over for an injured Tua Tagovailoa. Even without Gronk, the Bucs have enough going for them to cover the spread in this spot. PICK: Buccaneers -10

Poll

Which bet do you like more?

This poll is closed

  • 22%
    Dolphins +10
    (15 votes)
  • 77%
    Buccaneers -10
    (53 votes)
68 votes total Vote Now

TENNESSEE TITANS (-4) at JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS: Coming off a loss against the Jets, the Titans aren’t very inspiring. But they’re getting A.J. Brown back, so that could help. You won’t find me betting on Urban Meyer to come through. PICK: Titans -4

Poll

Which bet do you like more?

This poll is closed

  • 86%
    Titans -4
    (56 votes)
  • 13%
    Jaguars +4
    (9 votes)
65 votes total Vote Now

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES at CAROLINA PANTHERS (-2.5): The Panthers opened as 3.5-point or 4-point favorites, depending on where you looked. The line has since been trending in Philly’s direction. No Christian McCaffrey hurts the Panthers. So does an offensive line that can be exploited by the Eagles’ defensive front. The Birds need this game more and they’ll at least take this one down to the wire, which makes the points tempting. PICK: Eagles +2.5

Poll

Which bet do you like more?

This poll is closed

  • 55%
    Eagles +2.5
    (38 votes)
  • 44%
    Panthers -2.5
    (30 votes)
68 votes total Vote Now

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (-7.5) at HOUSTON TEXANS: Tempted to take the points because the Pats are far from a scoring machine (17.75 points per game). But the Texans look so listless with Davis Mills at the helm. PICK: Patriots -7.5

Poll

Which bet do you like more?

This poll is closed

  • 73%
    Patriots -7.5
    (42 votes)
  • 26%
    Texans +7.5
    (15 votes)
57 votes total Vote Now

DETROIT LIONS at MINNESOTA VIKINGS (-10): The Lions have been fighting hard under Dan Campbell but their talented is too limited. And for all of the Vikings’ flaws, Kirk Cousins does typically beat up on bad teams. PICK: Vikings -10

Poll

Which bet do you like more?

This poll is closed

  • 43%
    Lions +10
    (26 votes)
  • 56%
    Vikings -10
    (34 votes)
60 votes total Vote Now

DENVER BRONCOS (-1.5) at PITTSBURGH STEELERS: Why would anyone bet on Ben Roethlisberger’s arm right now? He looks pretty shot. PICK: Broncos -1.5

Poll

Which bet do you like more?

This poll is closed

  • 72%
    Broncos -1.5
    (42 votes)
  • 27%
    Steelers +1.5
    (16 votes)
58 votes total Vote Now

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (-2.5) at WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM: It’s hard to know what you’re going to get out of the Saints given Jameis Winston’s volatility. But New Orleans has enough to take advantage of a surprisingly bad Football Team defense. PICK: Saints -2.5

Poll

Which bet do you like more?

This poll is closed

  • 60%
    Saints -2.5
    (34 votes)
  • 39%
    Football Team +2.5
    (22 votes)
56 votes total Vote Now

CLEVELAND BROWNS at LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (-2.5): This should be a great matchup. Tempted to give the Chargers the edge with Justin Herbert over Baker Mayfield. But Cleveland’s running game looms large; Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt could be due for big days. PICK: Browns +2.5

Poll

Which bet do you like more?

This poll is closed

  • 44%
    Browns +2.5
    (23 votes)
  • 55%
    Chargers -2.5
    (29 votes)
52 votes total Vote Now

CHICAGO BEARS at LAS VEGAS RAIDERS (-5): The Raiders will bounce back after their first loss of the season. The Justin Fields hype hasn’t nearly matched the production. PICK: Raiders -5

Poll

Which bet do you like more?

This poll is closed

  • 15%
    Bears +5
    (8 votes)
  • 84%
    Raiders -5
    (44 votes)
52 votes total Vote Now

NEW YORK GIANTS at DALLAS COWBOYS (-7): The Giants always lose to the Cowboys. But I do think Daniel Jones can take advantage of a Dallas defense that looks better than it really is. The G-Men will keep this game close. PICK: Giants +7

Poll

Which bet do you like more?

This poll is closed

  • 40%
    Giants +7
    (20 votes)
  • 60%
    Cowboys -7
    (30 votes)
50 votes total Vote Now

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS at ARIZONA CARDINALS (-5.5): The Cards are hot with Kyler Murray leading the way. The 49ers are going to be without George Kittle. Not ideal for Trey Lance’s first start. He’s bound to have growing pains. PICK: Cardinals -5.5

Poll

Which bet do you like more?

This poll is closed

  • 16%
    49ers +5.5
    (8 votes)
  • 84%
    Cardinals -5.5
    (42 votes)
50 votes total Vote Now

BUFFALO BILLS at KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-2.5): The Chiefs’ defense is a real issue. The Bills are going to be able to take advantage of it. PICK: Bills +2.5

Poll

Which bet do you like more?

This poll is closed

  • 66%
    Bills +2.5
    (33 votes)
  • 34%
    Chiefs -2.5
    (17 votes)
50 votes total Vote Now

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS at BALTIMORE RAVENS (-7): Old friend Carson Wentz is going to give the Eagles an ideal result: logging 100% of the snaps and playing relatively well in a close loss. Manifesting. PICK: Colts +7

Poll

Which bet do you like more?

This poll is closed

  • 32%
    Colts +7
    (19 votes)
  • 67%
    Ravens -7
    (40 votes)
59 votes total Vote Now

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Odds/lines subject to change. T&Cs apply. See draftkings.com/sportsbook for details.