Eagles are 8.5 point underdogs to the Packers in Week 13

I don’t know about you but something makes me feel like the Philadelphia Eagles aren’t going march into Lambeau Field and escape with a win over the Green Bay Packers for the second year in a row.

Maybe it has something to do with how bad the Eagles’ offense looks right now? That could be it.

Then again, the Eagles didn’t exactly need their passing attack firing on all cylinders to beat Green Bay last year. Carson Wentz only had 160 passing yards (5.9 per attempt) in that game.

It was Philly’s rushing attack that gave the Packers’ defense fits. Miles Sanders had 11 carries for 72 yards (6.5 average) while Jordan Howard took 15 for 87 (5.8 average). Perhaps the Eagles will try to go back to that formula for this week’s matchup. It’s not like the Packers’ run defense is much improved; they rank 24th in run defense DVOA and 25th in opponent yards per rush attempt.

Another big reason the Eagles were able to beat the Packers in 2019 was because Davante Adams got hurt during the game. He was absolutely torching Philly’s defense before suffering a toe injury. Dude had 10 receptions for 180 yards despite not playing in the final 10 minutes!

The Eagles will hope that Darius Slay can be answer to Adams this time around. Slay will need to bounce back big time from having the “worst game of [his] career” against D.K. Metcalf. Even if Adams is taken away — and that’ll prove much easier said than done — the Packers are still getting quality production from No. 2 wide receiver Marquez Valdes-Scantling (20.7 yards per reception) and top tight end Robert Tonyan (458 yards). The Eagles’ defense has fared relatively well recently but facing Aaron Rodgers, who leads the NFL in passer rating, is a whole new challenge.

When I ran through my second half schedule prediction, I said that the Packers game was the one from Week 12 through Week 15 that they had the best chance of winning. Of course, the Eagles’ outlook have obviously worsened since then. It’s really hard to count on Philly winning a game against almost any team at this point, let alone one that might feature the biggest quarterback disparity in the NFL. And so I have the Eagles dropping to 3-8-1.

What say you?