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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 10 Games

Suggestions when trying to beat the odds.

NFL: OCT 22 Giants at Eagles Photo by Andy Lewis/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Before the tenth Sunday of the 2020 NFL regular season kicks off, let’s have some fun by taking a look at the spreads for the Week 10 games. You can CLICK HERE for straight up NFL picks without regard to the spread. You can find all of the NFL betting lines via DraftKings.

My overall record so far is 66-65-2 after going 5-9 last week. The BGN community is two games behind at 64-67-2.

Here are suggestions when trying to beat the odds.

NFL WEEK 10 GAMES

JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS at GREEN BAY PACKERS (-14): Jake Luton showed some promise last week and James Robinson could prove to be a problem for the Packers’ run defense. Aaron Rodgers does enough to help the Packers win the game but the Jags find a way to cover. PICK: Jaguars +14

Poll

Which bet do you like more?

This poll is closed

  • 46%
    Jaguars +14
    (34 votes)
  • 53%
    Packers -14
    (39 votes)
73 votes total Vote Now

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (-6) at CAROLINA PANTHERS: Easy to be concerned about the Bucs after their last two games. They trailed for most of their game against NYG and then they got blown out by New Orleans. But Tom Brady has a history of bouncing back and that’s what he’ll do here against the Bucs. The Panthers fight hard and they’re coming off a good game but Teddy Bridgewater will cost them here. PICK: Buccaneers -6

Poll

Which bet do you like more?

This poll is closed

  • 68%
    Buccaneers -6
    (44 votes)
  • 31%
    Panthers +6
    (20 votes)
64 votes total Vote Now

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (-4) at NEW YORK GIANTS: The Eagles are much healthier than they were the last time they faced the Giants and almost lost. But improved health doesn’t necessarily guarantee better performance. The Birds started out 0-2-1 when they were healthier earlier in the season. Philly ranks worse than New York in DVOA and it feels like the G-Men are due for a win. At the very least, this game should be close. Take the points. PICK: Giants +4

Poll

Which bet do you like more?

This poll is closed

  • 71%
    Eagles -4
    (52 votes)
  • 28%
    Giants +4
    (21 votes)
73 votes total Vote Now

HOUSTON TEXANS at CLEVELAND BROWNS (-4): The Browns are getting Nick Chubb back coming off their bye week. Running the ball is crucial to Cleveland’s success and they should be able to take advantage of an entirely gettable Houston defense. The Browns really need this game to stay well-positioned in the AFC playoff picture. PICK: Browns -4

Poll

Which bet do you like more?

This poll is closed

  • 35%
    Texans +4
    (17 votes)
  • 64%
    Browns -4
    (31 votes)
48 votes total Vote Now

WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM at DETROIT LIONS (-3.5): Alex Smith probably just isn’t the same player he used to be but I do think he can find a way to limit the turnovers that plagued him last week. Washington’s No. 1 overall ranked DVOA pass defense (!) will shut down Matt Stanford while their offense does just enough to get the win. Matt Patricia might finally be fired after this loss. PICK: Football Team +3.5

Poll

Which bet do you like more?

This poll is closed

  • 42%
    Football Team +3.5
    (21 votes)
  • 58%
    Lions +3.5
    (29 votes)
50 votes total Vote Now

BUFFALO BILLS at ARIZONA CARDINALS (-2.5): This should be a fun one. Josh Allen is coming off a bounce-back performance and Kyler Murray is playing his best ball recently. These teams are fairly even matched but I trust Murray a little more so that’s the direction I’ll go. Then again, I do worry about Kliff Kingsbury continuing to be a coward. PICK: Cardinals -2.5

Poll

Which bet do you like more?

This poll is closed

  • 69%
    Bills +2.5
    (34 votes)
  • 30%
    Cardinals -2.5
    (15 votes)
49 votes total Vote Now

LOS ANGELES CHARGERS at MIAMI DOLPHINS (-1.5): I really like Justin Herbert. More so than Tua Tagovailoa. But it’s so hard to trust the Bolts to finish and the Dolphins are looking like a legitimately good team. I want to take the Chargers but I have to take Miami in what’s essentially a pick ‘em. PICK: Dolphins -1.5

Poll

Which bet do you like more?

This poll is closed

  • 23%
    Chargers +1.5
    (11 votes)
  • 76%
    Dolphins -1.5
    (36 votes)
47 votes total Vote Now

DENVER BRONCOS at LAS VEGAS RAIDERS (-3.5): Drew Lock hasn’t been looking as bad as he was earlier in the season. But I don’t really trust him still. There’s a case to be made both of these teams aren’t as good as their records indicate. Denver is 29th in DVOA and Las Vegas is only 22nd. Hm ... maybe the points are the play here even though I think the Raiders will win. PICK: Broncos +3.5

Poll

Which bet do you like more?

This poll is closed

  • 15%
    Broncos +3.5
    (7 votes)
  • 84%
    Raiders -3.5
    (37 votes)
44 votes total Vote Now

CINCINNATI BENGALS at PITTSBURGH STEELERS (-7): The Steelers are going to lose eventually, right? They’ve come close the past couple weeks. The Bengals are coming off their bye and Joe Burrow is looking to score a signature win in this spot. Cincy should at least find a way to cover. PICK: Bengals +7

Poll

Which bet do you like more?

This poll is closed

  • 38%
    Bengals +7
    (19 votes)
  • 61%
    Steelers -7
    (30 votes)
49 votes total Vote Now

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS at LOS ANGELES RAMS (-2.5): The Rams’ defense is a lot better than the Seahawks’ defense. But I can’t possibly take Jared Goff over Russell Wilson, especially when the latter is getting points. PICK: Seahawks +2.5

Poll

Which bet do you like more?

This poll is closed

  • 83%
    Seahawks -2.5
    (36 votes)
  • 16%
    Rams +2.5
    (7 votes)
43 votes total Vote Now

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS at NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (-9.5): The 49ers are just too depleted and the Saints are hitting their stride with Michael Thomas back. PICK: Saints -9.5

Poll

Which bet do you like more?

This poll is closed

  • 18%
    49ers +9.5
    (8 votes)
  • 81%
    Saints -9.5
    (36 votes)
44 votes total Vote Now

BALTIMORE RAVENS (-7) at NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS: It wouldn’t really make sense for the Pats to almost lose to the Jets and then cover against the Pats. So it’ll happen. Especially with Baltimore’s offense still not looking right. PICK: Patriots +7

Poll

Which bet do you like more?

This poll is closed

  • 86%
    Ravens -7
    (40 votes)
  • 13%
    Patriots +7
    (6 votes)
46 votes total Vote Now

MINNESOTA VIKINGS (-3) at CHICAGO BEARS: Dalvin Cook is a monster. He’s able to mask Kirk Cousins’ deficiencies. Nick Foles is really struggling. So naturally he’ll make me regret picking against him. PICK: Vikings -3

Poll

Which bet do you like more?

This poll is closed

  • 55%
    Vikings -3
    (33 votes)
  • 44%
    Bears +3
    (26 votes)
59 votes total Vote Now