NFL Picks Against the Spread: AFC and NFC Conference Championship Games

Before the conference championship round of the 2020 NFL playoffs kicks off, let’s have some fun by taking a look at the spreads for these games.

My overall record this season is 127-128-9 after going 2-2 in the divisional round last week. I’m still ahead of the collective BGN community, which is 125-130-9.

You can CLICK HERE for straight up NFL picks without regard to the spread. You can find all of the NFL betting lines via DraftKings SportsBook.

CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP GAMES

TENNESSEE TITANS at KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-7.5): I’m rooting for Andy Reid to win but I can’t not think about how he’s 1-5 in championship games. It would be so Andy for the Chiefs to lose at home to the No. 6 seed. Even putting the Reid angle aside, I think the Titans’ play style gives them a real chance to beat the Chiefs. Tennessee should be able to control the clock with Derrick Henry going up as a Kansas City defense that ranks 29th in opponent yards per rush attempt. Even if the Titans have to pass more often than they ideally want to, that shouldn’t be a death sentence. Ryan Tannehill is playing at a high level. The Titans beat the Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium earlier this season so it’s really not that crazy to think they can do it again. Or, at the very least, make this game close. PICK: Titans +7.5

GREEN BAY PACKERS at SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (-7.5): I’m not really sold on Jimmy Garoppolo but I do like the 49ers’ defense. They’re going to give Aaron Rodgers a lot of trouble, just like they did the last time these two teams played (five sacks, 1 fumble lost, 75.8 passer rating). This Packers team just isn’t as good as their record makes them out to be. Green Bay ranks 10th in DVOA. They finished the 2019 season with the easiest strength of schedule. The 49ers, meanwhile, have been much more dominant. It just feels like it’s their year to at least make it to the Super Bowl. I think the 49ers win and do it relatively comfortably. PICK: 49ers -7.5