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The Philadelphia Eagles are 1-2 through their first three games of the 2019 NFL season. Needless to say, it’s been a disappointing start.
But is it too early to panic? Or are the Eagles really screwed? Let’s take a look at history to put 1-2 into context.
History of Eagles starting 1-2
| Season | Record after three games | Final record | Post-season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | Record after three games | Final record | Post-season |
| 2015 | 1-2 | 7-9 | Missed playoffs |
| 2013 | 1-2 | 10-6 | Lost in Wild Card |
| 2011 | 1-2 | 8-8 | Missed playoffs |
| 2007 | 1-2 | 8-8 | Missed playoffs |
| 2003 | 1-2 | 12-4 | Lost in NFC Championship Game |
| 2000 | 1-2 | 11-5 | Lost in Divisional Round |
| 1997 | 1-2 | 6-9-1 | Missed playoffs |
| 1995 | 1-2 | 10-6 | Lost in Divisional Round |
| 1990 | 1-2 | 10-6 | Lost in Wild Card |
| 1988 | 1-2 | 10-6 | Lost in Divisional Round |
The Eagles have made the playoffs in six out of their last 10 1-2 starts. They’ve won a playoff game in three of those 10 seasons. The Eagles have finished with a losing record in just one of their last 10 1-2 starts.
So, the season isn’t over just yet. But if the past is any indication, the Eagles REALLY need to beat the Packers in Green Bay this week.
Look at the last 10 times the Eagles started 2-2:
History of the Eagles starting 2-2
| Season | Record after four games | Final record | Post-season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | Record after four games | Final record | Post-season |
| 2018 | 2-2 | 9-7 | Lost in the Divisional Round |
| 2010 | 2-2 | 10-6 | Lost in the Wild Card |
| 2008 | 2-2 | 9-6 | Lost in the NFC Championship Game |
| 2003 | 2-2 | 12-4 | Lost in the NFC Championship Game |
| 2001 | 2-2 | 11-5 | Lost in the NFC Championship Game |
| 2000 | 2-2 | 11-5 | Lost in the Divisional Round |
| 1989 | 2-2 | 11-5 | Lost in the Wild Card |
| 1983 | 2-2 | 5-11 | Missed playoffs |
| 1978 | 2-2 | 9-7 | Lost in the Wild Card |
The Eagles have made the playoffs in NINE out of their last 10 2-2 starts. They’ve won at least one playoff game in five of those 10.
Now let’s contrast with their last 10 1-3 starts ...
History of the Eagles starting 1-3
| Season | Record after four games | Final record | Post-season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | Record after four games | Final record | Post-season |
| 2015 | 1-3 | 7-9 | Missed playoffs |
| 2013 | 1-3 | 10-6 | Lost in Wild Card |
| 2011 | 1-3 | 8-8 | Missed playoffs |
| 2007 | 1-3 | 8-8 | Missed playoffs |
| 1997 | 1-3 | 6-9-1 | Missed playoffs |
| 1995 | 1-3 | 10-6 | Lost in Divisional Round |
| 1990 | 1-3 | 10-6 | Lost in Wild Card |
| 1988 | 1-3 | 10-6 | Lost in Divisional Round |
| 1987 | 1-3 | 7-8 | Missed playoffs |
| 1986 | 1-3 | 5-10-1 | Missed playoffs |
The Eagles have made the playoffs in just four of their last 10 1-3 starts. They’ve won just one playoff game in those 10 seasons.
Unfortunately for the Eagles, history isn’t in their favor as they travel to play the Green Bay Packers on Thursday Night Football. As BGN pointed out earlier:
The Packers are 49-30-3 against the spread as home favorites since the Aaron Rodgers became Green Bay’s starting quarterback in 2008. That 62% cover rate ranks BEST in the NFL over that span. The Packers are 65-16-1 straight up in those games, which ranks as the second best overall win percentage. And this record is actually hurt by Rodgers missing 10 home games in his career; the Packers are only 3-6-1 in those tilts.
It’s not going to be easy but the Eagles need to find a way to win this week.