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Difference between 2-2 and 1-3 is big for the Eagles

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Pretty important game coming up.

Philadelphia Eagles v Atlanta Falcons Photo by Carmen Mandato/Getty Images

The Philadelphia Eagles are 1-2 through their first three games of the 2019 NFL season. Needless to say, it’s been a disappointing start.

But is it too early to panic? Or are the Eagles really screwed? Let’s take a look at history to put 1-2 into context.

History of Eagles starting 1-2

Season Record after three games Final record Post-season
Season Record after three games Final record Post-season
2015 1-2 7-9 Missed playoffs
2013 1-2 10-6 Lost in Wild Card
2011 1-2 8-8 Missed playoffs
2007 1-2 8-8 Missed playoffs
2003 1-2 12-4 Lost in NFC Championship Game
2000 1-2 11-5 Lost in Divisional Round
1997 1-2 6-9-1 Missed playoffs
1995 1-2 10-6 Lost in Divisional Round
1990 1-2 10-6 Lost in Wild Card
1988 1-2 10-6 Lost in Divisional Round

The Eagles have made the playoffs in six out of their last 10 1-2 starts. They’ve won a playoff game in three of those 10 seasons. The Eagles have finished with a losing record in just one of their last 10 1-2 starts.

So, the season isn’t over just yet. But if the past is any indication, the Eagles REALLY need to beat the Packers in Green Bay this week.

Look at the last 10 times the Eagles started 2-2:

History of the Eagles starting 2-2

Season Record after four games Final record Post-season
Season Record after four games Final record Post-season
2018 2-2 9-7 Lost in the Divisional Round
2010 2-2 10-6 Lost in the Wild Card
2008 2-2 9-6 Lost in the NFC Championship Game
2003 2-2 12-4 Lost in the NFC Championship Game
2001 2-2 11-5 Lost in the NFC Championship Game
2000 2-2 11-5 Lost in the Divisional Round
1989 2-2 11-5 Lost in the Wild Card
1983 2-2 5-11 Missed playoffs
1978 2-2 9-7 Lost in the Wild Card

The Eagles have made the playoffs in NINE out of their last 10 2-2 starts. They’ve won at least one playoff game in five of those 10.

Now let’s contrast with their last 10 1-3 starts ...

History of the Eagles starting 1-3

Season Record after four games Final record Post-season
Season Record after four games Final record Post-season
2015 1-3 7-9 Missed playoffs
2013 1-3 10-6 Lost in Wild Card
2011 1-3 8-8 Missed playoffs
2007 1-3 8-8 Missed playoffs
1997 1-3 6-9-1 Missed playoffs
1995 1-3 10-6 Lost in Divisional Round
1990 1-3 10-6 Lost in Wild Card
1988 1-3 10-6 Lost in Divisional Round
1987 1-3 7-8 Missed playoffs
1986 1-3 5-10-1 Missed playoffs

The Eagles have made the playoffs in just four of their last 10 1-3 starts. They’ve won just one playoff game in those 10 seasons.

Unfortunately for the Eagles, history isn’t in their favor as they travel to play the Green Bay Packers on Thursday Night Football. As BGN pointed out earlier:

The Packers are 49-30-3 against the spread as home favorites since the Aaron Rodgers became Green Bay’s starting quarterback in 2008. That 62% cover rate ranks BEST in the NFL over that span. The Packers are 65-16-1 straight up in those games, which ranks as the second best overall win percentage. And this record is actually hurt by Rodgers missing 10 home games in his career; the Packers are only 3-6-1 in those tilts.

It’s not going to be easy but the Eagles need to find a way to win this week.