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What to expect when the Eagles make draft day trades

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Trades are coming

Indianapolis Colts v Philadelphia Eagles Photo by Mitchell Leff/Getty Images

254 players will be selected in this year’s draft. Nobody knows where all of them will wind up. But what we do know is that there will be trades. And the Eagles will make some of them. As we do every year, let’s look at what we can expect the Eagles to get in a trade back, or be able to reach to in a trade up. While most people use charts, I like to look at trades that have actually happened. Trade value charts are theory based on reality, looking at what’s actually happened is entirely reality.

This study is limited to drafts since 2011, when the CBA imposed a rookie wage scale and increase the viability for teams to trade for high picks, and looks solely at draft pick for draft pick trades, though not exclusively draft day trades.

First Round - 25th overall

Trade Up

Note: I didn’t count trade ups for quarterbacks. The team giving away the pick has a massive amount of leverage, so the prices are inflated. Since the Eagles aren’t trading up for one, any similar trades aren’t a fair barometer for what it would cost them to trade up.

2011: 27, 59 (late 2nd), 124 (late 4th), 2012 1st, 2012 4th for 6; 27, 70 (early 3rd) for 21

2012: 27, 93 (late 3rd) for 21

2014: 27, 91 (late 3rd) for 20; 26, 93 (late 3rd) for 22

2016: 22, 2017 6th for 21

2018: 22, 65 (early 3rd) for 16, 154 (early 5th); 25, 125 (late 4th) for 22 and 215 (late 6th); 27, 76 (early 3rd), 147 (early 5th) for 14; 27, 76 (early 3rd), 186 (early 6th) for 18, 248 (late 7th)

The 2011 mega trade up to 6th was the Julio Jones trade.

If the Eagles want to really move up, they can’t without getting creative. A late 3rd should jump the Eagles up about half a dozen spots. But the Eagles don’t have a 3rd round pick at all, having traded it for Golden Tate. With two picks in both the 2nd and 4th rounds, they’ll likely have to find a seller willing to do some reshuffling in those rounds. A day three pick should get them up a handful of spot, which is all they might need to get a guy they want.

Trade Down

2011: 28 for 56 (late 2nd) and a 2012 1st

2012: 25 for 31, 126 (late 4th); 29 for 35, 98 (early 4th)

2013: 22 and a 2015 7th for 30, 92 (late 3rd), 198 (late 6th); 29 for 52 (late 2nd), 83 (late 3rd), 102 (early 4th), 229 (mid 7th)

2016: 28 and 249 (late 7th) for 37, 105 (early 4th), 178 (early 6th)

2017: 26 for 31, 95 (late 3rd), 249 (late 7th); 29 for 33, 108 (early 4th)

The team trading a 1st for four picks was the Patriots. To the Vikings for Cordarrelle Patterson, who the Patriots later traded for. Of course.

If they move back, anything better than a late 4th would be fair value.

Second Round - 53rd and 57th

Trade Up

2011: 53 and 152 (late 5th) for 49

2012: 50 and 150 (mid 5th) for 45; 59 and 123 (late 4th) for 51

2014: 54 and 122 (late 4th) for 42; 57 and 125 (late 4th) for 50

2015: 57, 89 (late 3rd), 201 (mid 6th) for 41; 51, 116 (early 4th), 195 (mid 6th) for 43, 229 (early 7th); 57, 145 (early 5th), 156 (mid 5th) for 47, 191 (early 6th)

2016: 49, 117 (mid 4th) for 41; 57, 125 (late 4th), 248 (late 7th) for 48; 56, 124 (mid 4th) for 49; 52, 195 (mid 6th) for 50

2018: 57, 89 (late 3rd) for 41; 51, 117 (mid 4th) for 43; 59, 74 (early 3rd) for 44, 142 (early 5th); 54, 78 (early 3rd) for 46, 100 (late 3rd); 52, 169 (late 5th) for 49; 2019 2nd, 105 (early 4th) for 51

Trade Down

2011: 53 for 62, 127 (late 4th); 57, 157 (late 5th) for 75 (early 3rd), 107 (early 4th), 154 (late 5th), 205 (early 7th); 60 for 73, 138 (early 5th); 62 for 79, 146 (mid 5th), 217 (early 7th)

2012: 58, 233 (mid 7th) for 68, 126 (late 4th); 62 for 90 (late 3rd), 163 (late 5th)

2013: 55 for 61, 173 (early 6th); 56 for 62, 165 (late 5th), 199 (late 6th)

2014: 56, 242 (late 7th) for 63, 171 (late 5th), 2015 4th; 57 for 63, 171 (late 5th); 61 for 70, 150 (early 5th)

2015: 61, 128 (late 4th) for 65, 109 (early 4th)

2016: 59 for 74, 106 (early 4th); 61 for 78, 112 (early 4th)

To move up a few spots it’ll probably cost a 4th. The Eagles have two of them near and at the end of the round, 128 and 138. Like last year, if they trade down in the 1st, they’ll probably trade up in the 2nd. But if they trade up in the 1st, it’s easy to see them trading back with one of their 2nds. If so, they’ll probably pick up a 5th.

4th Round - 128 and 138

Trade Up

2011: 127, 144 (mid 5th), 152 (mid 5th) for 105, 178 (mid 6th)

2012: 125, 196 (late 6th) for 117

2014: 123, 199 (late 6th) for 111

2015: 124, 161 (mid 5th), 242 (late 7th) for 102; 123, 198 (late 6th), 241 (late 7th) for 116

2017: 125, 204 (late 6th) for 107

Trade Down

2011: 129, 204 (early 7th) for 141, 186 (late 6th)

2012: 138, 223 (early 7th) for 219, 2013 4th

2013: 125 for 146, 173 (early 6th); 137 for 165 (late 5th), 199 (late 6th)

2014: 131, 246 (late 7th) for 156 and 2015 5th

2015: 137 for 146, 185 (early 6th)

2017: 132 for 139, 230 (early 7th); 139 for 170 (late 5th), 180 (late 5th)

2018: 136 for 147, 197 (late 6th); 140 for 159, 185 (early 6th)

Pretty simple: moving up costs a 6th, moving down gets you a late 6th or early 7th

5th Round - 163

Trade Up:

2011: 158, 229 (mid 7th) for 145; 168, 170 for 150; 161, 194 (late 6th) for 153, 227 (mid 7th)

2012: 158, 230 (mid 7th) for 148

2013: 163, 236 (mid 7th) for 153

2014: 158, 229 (early 7th) for 146; 168, 225 (early 7th) for 148

2015: 166, 247 (late 7th) for 147; 165, 244 (late 7th) for 151

2017: 164, 214 (late 6th) for 155

2018: 162, 215 (late 6th) for 152; 167, 225 (early 7th) for 157

Trade Down:

2011: 163 for 174, 231 (mid 7th)

2012: 163 for 197, 224 (mid 7th), 235 (mid 7th)

2014: 168 for 182, 220 (early 7th)

2015: 167 for 187, 2016 6th

2017: 164, 194 (early 6th) for 166, 184 (late 5th)

2018: 167, 225 (early 7th) for 180, 204 (late 6th)

This is also pretty clear: if the Eagles want to move up in the 5th, it should cost a 7th rounder. But they don’t have a 7th rounder. They can also move back and get a 7th in a 1-for-2, or move up in the 6th in a larger swap.

6th Round - 197

The Eagles would need to pick up a 7th rounder in an earlier trade in order to move up. If they traded back, they’d pick up a 7th.