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Predicting the Eagles’ final record for the 2019 NFL season

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It’s time for some useless predictions!

NFL: Denver Broncos at Philadelphia Eagles Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

The 2019 NFL schedule is officially HERE so it’s time for a very important and scientific exercise: going through the Philadelphia Eagles’ schedule game-by-game in order to come up with a final record prediction.

Last year around this time, I had the Eagles “looking at a floor of 10-6 with a ceiling of 12-4.” I was only one game off of their floor as they finished 9-7 in 2018. This means my 2019 prediction will only be off by one game off as well because that’s definitely how this all works.

But enough babbling. To the predictions!

Eagles 2019 Schedule

Week 1 - vs. Washington Redskins (Sept. 8, 1:00 PM ET, FOX)

I mean, you remember what happened the last time Case Keenum started a game against the Eagles, right? As if you could ever forget 38 to 7. I don’t think the Eagles will be beating up on Washington quite that bad but the good guys will start their season off with a win at home.

1-0

Week 2 - at Atlanta Falcons (Sept. 15, 8:20 PM ET, NBC) Sunday Night Football

The Eagles are 3-0 in their last three games against the Falcons, all of which took place at Lincoln Financial Field. The Eagles are 0-2 in their last two games in Atlanta. This could easily be another contest that comes down to the wire. I ultimately like the Eagles’ chances because Jim Schwartz’s defense has done a relatively good job of containing Julio Jones in the past. Matt Ryan isn’t overly threatening, either.

2-0

Week 3 - vs. Detroit Lions (Sept. 22, 1:00 PM ET, FOX)

The last time the Eagles played a Matt Patricia defense, they dropped 41 points on him. The Eagles will crush the Lions. Fun fact: this is the first time the Lions return to Philly since the Snow Bowl in 2013.

3-0

Week 4 - at Green Bay Packers (Sept. 26, 8:20 PM ET, FOX/NFLN) Thursday Night Football

The Packers could be back to being much more dangerous with Mike McCarthy gone. Not to mention it’s hard to bet against Aaron Rodgers at Lambeau Field. The 2019 Packers game could be the Eagles’ 2018 Saints game or their 2017 Seahawks game. By that I mean the one road game they just seem destined to lose on paper. Doesn’t help that the Eagles will be traveling on a short week.

3-1

Week 5 - vs. New York Jets (Oct. 6, 1:00 PM ET, CBS)

Did you know the Eagles have never lost to the Jets? Philadelphia is a perfect 10-0 against their neighbors to the north. Sam Darnold had his ups and downs as a rookie but he could take a step forward in Year 2, especially with the Jets adding Le’Veon Bell to their offense. Robbie Anderson, whom the Eagles previously coveted, could also give Philly’s defense some troubles. The Jets could give a scare but the Eagles ultimately have more talent and will hold on for the win.

4-1

Week 6 - at Minnesota Vikings (Oct. 13, 1:00 PM ET, FOX)

Ah, the Vikings game. This will mark the Eagles’ first trip back to U.S. Bank Stadium since winning the Super Bowl. You know, the game the Eagles won after demolishing Minnesota 38 to 7 in the 2018 NFC Championship Game. The Eagles will be up against a hostile crowd but they will have a big advantage working in their favor: Kirk Cousins doesn’t beat good teams. He’s 4-23 against teams that finish the season with 9+ wins. The Eagles will be a good team in 2019 so they’ll beat Cousins. It’s science.

5-1

Week 7 - at Dallas Cowboys (Oct. 20, 8:20 PM ET, NBC) Sunday Night Football

I want to pick the Eagles to sweep the Cowboys but it’s hard for me to do after watching that Dallas defense give Philly troubles last season. The Eagles typically do better against the Cowboys in Arlington than they do in Philly, so maybe I have the outcomes flip-flopped. In any case, I think the Eagles and Cowboys will split their games this season.

5-2

Week 8 - at Buffalo Bills (Oct. 27, 1:00 PM ET, FOX)

I don’t have a good feeling about this one. Third straight road game, Buffalo isn’t an easy place to play, and the Bills have a legitimately good defense; they ranked second in defensive DVOA last year. The Bills’ offense isn’t good but runnin’ Josh Allen will give the Eagles’ defense some trouble with his legs. You know Sean McDermott is going to have his guys juiced up to play the team that once scapegoated him. Eagles drop two in a row.

5-3

Week 9 - vs. Chicago Bears (Nov. 3, 1:00 PM ET, FOX)

The Bears will be hungry for revenge after losing to the Eagles in heartbreaking fashion during the playoffs. The feeling here is they won’t get it here. Chicago is worse off after losing one of the best defensive coordinators in the league in Vic Fangio. Mitchell Trubisky is hardly intimidating.

6-3

Week 10 - BYE (No. 10)

Nice to have a bye before two very tough games.

Week 11 - vs. New England Patriots (Nov. 17, 4:25 PM ET, CBS)

vs. New England Patriots: The Super Bowl LII rematch figures to be hell of a game. We already know Doug Pederson can out-coach Bill Belichick but can Carson Wentz out-duel Tom Brady? The Pats enter this game with a rest advantage since they have a bye in Week 10. They’ll publicly downplay wanting revenge in this game but you know deep down they really want this one. Unfortunately, I’m picking the Evil Empire to win this game. It’s OK, though, because the Eagles will beat them again in Super Bowl LIV.

6-4

Week 12 - vs. Seattle Seahawks (Nov. 24, 8:20 PM ET, NBC) Sunday Night Football

Russell Wilson has completed 60.6% of his attempts for 762 yards (7.7 average), six touchdowns, zero interceptions, and a 104.9 passer rating in three career games against the Eagles. Maybe he’ll look more mortal playing at the Linc instead of CenturyLink but I’ll believe it when I see it. Eagles lose this game.

6-5

Week 13 - at Miami Dolphins (Dec. 1, 1:00 PM ET, FOX)

Potentially facing Ryan Fitzpatrick makes me nervous after seeing him shred the Eagles’ secondary in Week 2 last year. This Dolphins team isn’t very good, though, and they’re actively tanking for a good pick in the 2020 NFL Draft. In the least anticipated matchup on Philly’s schedule, the Eagles cruise to a win.

7-5

Week 14 - vs. New York Giants (Dec. 9, 8:15 PM ET, ESPN) Monday Night Football

The stat that perfectly sums up the Eagles’ lasting dominance over the Giants: Donovan McNabb has as many wins (4-0) in the last 22 Philly vs. New York games as Eli Manning (4-18). I don’t know why anyone would take a 38-year-old, washed up Manning to beat the Eagles. This is going to be the game where, for the time in NFL history, the Eagles will take the lead in their all-time series against the Giants. The record is currently tied at 86-86-2.

8-5

Week 15 - at Washington Redskins (Dec. 15, 1:00 PM ET, FOX)

at Washington Redskins - Again, I think Washington can be competitive. They have some solid pieces on their roster and there are much worse coaches than Jay Gruden. But I just can’t pick Keenum to beat the Eagles in front of a midnight green crowd that invades FedEx Field once again.

9-5

Week 16 - vs. Dallas Cowboys (Dec. 22, 4:25 PM ET, FOX)

For some reason, the Eagles just don’t play well against the Cowboys vs. Dallas Cowboys Ever since 44 to 6 happened in 2008, Dallas is 8-2 in games played at Lincoln Financial Field. In fairness, two of those Cowboys wins were Week 17 games in which the Eagles were resting starters. But one of the Eagles’ only two wins in the last 10 games was also a Week 17 contest where Dallas was resting players. I’m going to go against history here and say the Eagles are due for a home win against their biggest NFC East rival. Dak Prescott throws a red zone pick-six late in the game to lead to a division-clinching win. Lito Sheppard redux.

10-5

Week 17 - at New York Giants (Dec. 29, 1:00 PM ET, FOX)

This game could potentially be meaningless for the Eagles if they already have their playoff positioning locked up. If the Eagles need to win this game, they will certainly find a way to beat Manning and Pat Shurmur. One of the least threatening quarterback and head coach combinations in the NFL. If the Eagles rest their starters, well, I think Nate Sudfeld might still be able to beat the G-Men?

11-5

...

Final record: 11-5

I think the Eagles are looking at a floor of 9-7 and a ceiling of 12-4.

Of course, that range assumes Carson Wentz stays healthy. There’s potential for things to go south quickly if he’s hurt once again unless Nate Sudfeld is the second coming of Nick Foles.

As stated ad nauseam, the feeling here is that Wentz is poised for a bounce back year. We all saw how special he was after having a full offseason to prepare for 2017. Wentz has made a habit out of proving his doubters wrong and he could easily do it once again this year.

Aside from Wentz, the Eagles still have one of the best head coaches in the league in Pederson. Schwartz’s defense, at the very least, should be good enough to not be a liability. Howie Roseman has assembled a lot of talent on this roster.

There hasn’t been a repeat winner in the NFC East the Eagles did it in 2004. I don’t think the Cowboys are going to break that streak this season. Instead, it’ll be the Eagles who reclaim the throne in advance of making another playoff run.

Poll

What’s your record prediction for the 2019 Eagles?

This poll is closed

  • 11%
    13-3 or better
    (394 votes)
  • 32%
    12-4
    (1092 votes)
  • 31%
    11-5
    (1065 votes)
  • 20%
    10-6
    (707 votes)
  • 2%
    9-7
    (70 votes)
  • 0%
    8-8
    (27 votes)
  • 0%
    7-9
    (16 votes)
  • 0%
    6-10 or worse
    (24 votes)
3395 votes total Vote Now