FanPost

2019 NFL Playoff Projections After Week 14

Hello, NFL/Eagles fans!

OK, be honest, how long did you stay up to watch that game? I don't know if the Eagles coming back says more about us or the Giants. It probably says more about them than us. There's a reason why they're 2-11. So now miraculously the Eagles are back tied with the Cowgirls who continue to lose.This past week was probably the best measuring stick of Dallas's season. Most weeks, they've either played a really good team like the Patriots or Saints and loss or a really bad team like us or the Lions without Matt Stafford and won. The Bears are as close to a .500 team as you can get (before Thursday they were .500.) So Thursday we found out whether the 'Boys were above or below average.

So after 13 weeks we've finally caught up with Dallas in the NFC East standings (of course they hold the tiebreaker because of that beatdown earlier in the season). Still, I can't remember the last time we were tied with them so I'll take it. Now both teams can't finish 9-7 or 6-10, 9-7 will win the division if either team somehow puts together three wins and if both teams lose every game other than December 22 the winner of that game wins the NFC Least. If both teams tie in Philly and finish 8-7-1 or 6-9-1 obviously Dallas would win the division.

If the Eagles finish 7-9, they would be 3-3 in the division. If Dallas finishes 7-9, they will either be 4-2 or 5-1 in the division depending on who the losses are. It wouldn't matter if the one game we win is vs. Dallas, the Cowboys win the tiebreaker.

If the Eagles finish 8-8, they would be 4-2 in the division. If Dallas also finishes 8-8 and beats us, they obviously would have the head to head tiebreaker. Otherwise, they would have to beat Washington and would be 5-1 in the NFC East (only loss would be us) and still win the division.

So there is now no scenario where Philly wins a tiebreaker with Dallas, the only way the Eagles win the division is to win it outright.

Scenarios going into Week 16:

Best case:

Eagles win at Washington, Cowboys lose at home to Rams:

Eagles 7-7, Cowboys 6-8,

If Eagles win, Eagles 8-7, Cowboys 6-9, NFC East Champs!

If Cowboys win, Both teams 7-8, Cowboys have tiebreaker, control own destiny going into Week 17, might as well pack our backs, Dallas isn't blowing it at home vs. Washington.

If we tie, Eagles 7-7-1, Cowboys 6-8-1, Eagles would control their destiny going into Week 17 but Dallas would have the tiebreaker should Philly win and Dallas lose.

Worst case:

Cowboys win, Eagles lose:

Cowboys 7-7, Eagles 6-8

If Cowboys win, Cowboys 8-7, Eagles 6-9, Season Over.

If Cowboys tie, Cowboys 7-7-1, Eagles 6-8-1, Cowboys have tiebreaker so season over as well. The Cowboys in this scenario if they get to OT will play for a tie since a tie is as good as a win.

If Eagles win, Cowboys 7-8, Eagles 7-8 but Cowboys 4-1 in NFC East, Eagles 3-2 so Cowboys control their own destiny in Week 17. So this is really bad. We win but we only postpone the inevitable Cowboys coronation a week.

Middle case:

Cowboys and Eagles both win or both lose:

Cowboys and Eagles both 7-7 or 6-8

Cowboys win: Cowboys 8-7 or 7-8, Eagles 7-8 or 6-9, Season Over.

Cowboys tie: Both teams 7-7-1 or 6-8-1, Cowboys control their destiny going into Week 17.

Eagles win: Eagles 8-7 or 7-8, Cowboys 7-8 or 6-9, Eagles control their destiny but Cowboys would have the tiebreaker.

As always, these projections are based on the formula of adding two wins to the home team and picking the team with more wins. Ties go to the home team.

NFC East:

Cowboys (6-7): Rams (W), at Eagles (LOSS), Washington (W) = 8-8

Eagles (6-7): at Washington (W), Cowboys (WIN), at Giants (W) = 9-7

NFC North:

Packers (10-3): Bears (W), at Vikings (L), at Lions (W) = 12-4

Vikings (9-4): at Former San Diego (W), Packers (W), Bears (W) = 12-4

Bears (7-6): at Packers (L), Chiefs (W), at Vikings (L) = 8-8

NFC South:

Saints (10-3): Colts (W), at Titans (L), at Panthers (W) = 12-4

NFC West:

49ers (11-2): Falcons (W), Rams (W), at Seahawks (L) = 13-3

Seahawks (10-3): at Panthers (W), Cardinals (W), 49ers (W) = 13-3

Rams (8-5): at Cowboys (L), at 49ers (L), Cardinals (W) = 9-7

1. Seahawks (13-3) - Head to head sweep over 49ers

2/3. Saints and Packers (12-4) would come down to SOV. Both would be 9-3 vs. the NFC. Common opponents for Green Bay and New Orleans are Dallas, Chicago, Carolina, San Francisco and both would be 4-1 vs. the field with the losses to the 49ers. Currently the Saints lead SOV.

4. EAGLES (9-7)

5. 49ers (13-3)

6. Vikings (12-4)

1st Round: Vikings at Saints/Packers, 49ers at Eagles

2nd Round: at Seahawks, at Saints/Packers

The Eagles (6-7) moved three games ahead of Washington (3-10) so they are projected by the formula to beat them and claim the NFC Least, I mean East.

The Saints loss at home to San Fran means Seattle is now projected to be the NFC's #1 seed. The Saints are predicted to lose at Tennessee (10-3 vs. 8-5). If the Saints win that game, they will catch Seattle and get HFA over them by their HTH win. But if the Packers beat Minnesota in Minneapolis and Seattle, Green Bay, and New Orleans finish 13-3, the Saints HTH win is negated since neither team played the Packers. So they go to conference record. New Orleans has three conference losses (Rams, Atlanta, San Fran) while both Seattle and Green Bay lost to an AFC opponent (Seattle to Baltimore, Green Bay to the Spanoses). Then home field would come down to the Seahawks and Packers and it would come down to common opponents which are Philadelphia, Minnesota, Carolina, and San Francisco. Seattle would be 5-0 vs. all four, Green Bay would be 3-2. Seattle would be the #1 seed, Green Bay would be #2 by a superior NFC record, New Orleans #3. Of course if San Fran steals the game in Seattle like they did in New Orleans they are the top seed (assuming they win one of the other games, they win a tiebreak with both Green Bay or New Orleans since they beat both).

AFC East:

Patriots (10-3): at Bengals (W), Bills (W), Dolphins (W) = 13-3

Bills (9-4): at Steelers (L), at Patriots (L), Jets (W) = 10-6

AFC North:

Ravens (11-2): Jets (W), at Browns (W), Steelers (W) = 14-2

Steelers (8-5): Bills (W), at Jets (W), at Ravens (L) = 10-6

Browns (6-7): at Cardinals (W), Ravens (L), at Bengals (W) = 8-8

AFC South:

Texans (8-5): at Titans (L), at Buccaneers (L), Titans (W) = 9-7

Titans (8-5): Texans (W), Saints (W), at Texans (L) = 10-6

Colts (6-7): at Saints (L), Panthers (W), at Jaguars (L) = 7-9

AFC West:

Chiefs (9-4): Broncos (W), at Bears (L), Former San Diego (W) = 11-5

Raiders (6-7): Jaguars (W), at Former San Diego (L), at Broncos L) = 7-9

1. Ravens (14-2)

2. Patriots (13-3)

3. Chiefs (11-5)

4. Titans (10-6)

5. Steelers (10-6) - Head to head over Bills

6. Bills (10-6)

1st Round: Bills at Chiefs, Steelers at Titans

2nd Round: at Ravens, at Patriots

The Titans are now projected to win the AFC South as they are predicted to win at home vs. New Orleans (8-5 vs. 10-3) and Houston is predicted to lose at Tampa Bay (8-5 vs. 6-7). If the Titans win in Nashville, this combination means the Titans win the AFC South in Week 16.

Also the big news is the Ravens now have the inside track to the #1 overall seed. No one here thinks the Ravens will lose two games do they? I don't think they'll lose either of the next two. The Patriots AFC East crown looks in jeopardy the way they've been playing lately although I'm not sure I trust a team that lost to us to beat the Patriots.