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NFL Picks Against the Spread 2018: Week 7 Games

Here are some suggestions when trying to beat the odds.

Philadelphia Eagles v New York Giants Photo by Elsa/Getty Images

Before the seventh Sunday of the 2018 NFL regular season kicks off, let’s have some fun by taking a look at the spreads for today’s games. (Click here for NFL Week 7 picks without regard to the spread.)

Here are suggestions when trying to beat the odds. You can find all of today’s NFL betting lines and over/unders via SB Nation. My season record so far is 35-56-2 after going 6-8-1 last week. Woof. It’s just not my year.

NFL Week 7 Games

Tennessee Titans at Los Angeles Chargers (-7): The Titans have scored two offensive touchdowns outside of their Week 4 game against a struggling Eagles secondary. Two! That’s bad. The Chargers, meanwhile, appear to be hitting their stride. Easy choice here. PICK: Chargers -7

New England Patriots (-3) at Chicago Bears: Are you comfortable betting on Mitchell Trubisky over Tom Brady? I’m not. And I don’t think you should be. PICK: Patriots -3

Cleveland Browns at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3.5): I think the Bucs are bound to bounce back from their losing streak here. Maybe firing Mike Smith strikes some urgency in the league’s worst defense. Also think the Browns, while improved, are far from a sure bet on the road like this. PICK: Buccaneers -3.5

Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles (-5): The Eagles have some notable advantages heading into this matchup: extra rest (last played on October 11), home field (17-3 in last 20 meaningful games), and an officiating crew that’s been favorable to them in the past. The Eagles’ win over New York in Week 6 felt like Philly declaring that they’re back. They have a chance to prove they’re truly on the right track this Sunday and I think they will. PICK: Eagles -5

Minnesota Vikings (-3.5) at New York Jets: There’s upset potential here. The Jets have been playing well in recent weeks. New York ranks higher than Minnesota in DVOA. But I’d like for Kirk Cousins to lose so I’ll happily try to jinx the Vikings. PICK: Vikings -3.5

Detroit Lions (-3) at Miami Dolphins: Are you really counting Brock Osweiler to have another “good” game? Maybe I should, being that it’s Brocktober and all, but I don’t know. Detroit could be well-rested off the bye and it’s not like Miami has a fierce home crowd. PICK: Lions -3

Buffalo Bills at Indianapolis Colts (-7.5): Maybe the Bills won’t stink AS bad with Derek Anderson at quarterback instead of Josh Allen? I’ll give it a shot. PICK: Bills +7.5

Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars (-4.5): The Jags’ pass rush will bounce back against Houston’s offensive line, which is arguably the worst in the league. PICK: Jaguars -4.5

New Orleans Saints at Baltimore Ravens (-2.5): This has the makings of a really good one. It should be fun to watch the Ravens’ defense against the Saints’ offense. New Orleans is really tempting when they’re getting points. Maybe Joe Flacco looks like a pumpkin with Halloween right around the corner. PICK: Saints +2.5

Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins (-1): The Cowboys are 5-0 at FedEx Field since 2012. Will history repeat itself? It’s a tough call. These teams seem pretty evenly matched (hence the line). The Cowboys just edge Washington in the DVOA battle, 20 to 22. I guess I’ll go with what’s worked in the past. PICK: Cowboys +1

Los Angeles Rams (-10) at San Francisco 49ers: The 49ers hung tough in Green Bay. As a result, it’s tempting to pick them against the Rams, who’ve played down to the level of their competition in the past two weeks. But I think LA is due for another big offensive performance. Totally not trying to jinx them, I swear. PICK: Rams -10

Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs (-6): The Bengals are good but the Chiefs are really good. Kansas City has defensive issues, yeah, but why would you bet against that high-scoring Andy Reid offense? PICK: Chiefs -6

New York Giants at Atlanta Falcons (-4): I don’t think the Falcons are as bad as their record suggests. They should figure to be the more desperate team here as they try to keep the season alive. The Giants, meanwhile, are cooked. PICK: Falcons -4

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