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NFL Picks Against the Spread 2018: Conference Championship Playoff Games

Here are some suggestions when trying to beat the odds.

Divisional Round - Atlanta Falcons v Philadelphia Eagles Photo by Abbie Parr/Getty Images

Before the Conference Championship Games of the 2018 NFL playoffs kick off, let’s have some fun by taking a look at the lines for today’s games. (Click here for Conference Championship picks without regard to the spread.)

Here are suggestions when trying to beat the odds. You can find all of today’s NFL betting lines and more via SB Nation. My record this season is 116-104-9. Let’s get to the picks.

Conference Championship Games

Jacksonville Jaguars at New England Patriots (-7.5): This line feels pretty disrespectful to a Jaguars team that’s played really well at times this season, such as last week. It’s not hard to envision Jacksonville’s defense giving Tom Brady some issues, especially since the 40-year-old passer is dealing with some mysterious hand injury. With that said, this is still Brady and Bill Belichick we’re talking about here. Those guys just don’t lose in the playoffs very often, especially at Gilette Stadium. Then again, the guy who Brady and Belichick couldn’t beat in the post-season — Tom Coughlin — is part of Jacksonville’s organization. This is a tough pick. It feels like taking the points is the safe bet because even if the Jags don’t win, this could be a close game. But the Blake Bortles factor is never not going to be a concern. He played well against the Steelers, yes, but he’s never far away from just totally imploding. I guess I’m going to take the Patriots here. Watch them win by exactly seven points. PICK: Patriots -7.5

Minnesota Vikings (-3.5) at Philadelphia Eagles: You already know who I’m picking here. The Philadelphia Eagles are going to win this game outright. They have home field advantage. They have the edge in the coaching battle thanks to Doug Pederson. Yeah, that’s right, I said it. Dougie P over Mike Zimmer all day. Philadelphia is also better in the trenches. That factor will shift the quarterback battle into the Eagles’ favor. Case Keenum is the third most pressured quarterback in the league and the Eagles lead the NFL in pressuring opposing passers. Keenum doesn’t have experience playing in an environment as hostile as it’s going to be at Lincoln Financial Field today. The Eagles have a lot of underdog motivation yet again this week. Everyone is talking about the Vikings being the first team to host a Super Bowl in their own stadium. The Eagles will want to ruin that destiny. At the very least, this should be a close game, so taking the points is an easy call here. PICK: Eagles +3.5