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NFL Picks Against the Spread 2017: Week 14 Games

Here are some suggestions when trying to beat the odds.

Philadelphia Eagles v Seattle Seahawks Photo by Otto Greule Jr /Getty Images

Before the 14th Sunday of the 2017 NFL regular season kicks off, let’s have some fun by taking a look at the spreads for today’s games. (Click here for NFL Week 14 picks without regard to the spread.)

Here are suggestions when trying to beat the odds. You can find all of today’s NFL betting lines and more via SB Nation. My regular season record after the 13th week is 93-77-6. Let’s get to the picks.

NFL Week 14 Games

Chicago Bears at Cincinnati Bengals (-6.5): The Bears suck. It’s not like the Bengals are all that great, either, but Chicago’s just really bad at this point. It’s that simple. PICK: Bengals -6.5

Indianapolis Colts at Buffalo Bills (-3): Nathan Peterman is reportedly expected to start with Tyrod Taylor banged up. I don’t need to remind you of what happened the last time Peterman started, but I’ll do it anyway: FIVE interceptions. Five! Buffalo might be able to win in spite of him since they’re home and Indy sucks, but I don’t know. I think I’ll cautiously take the points here. PICK: Colts +3

San Francisco 49ers at Houston Texans (-3): I have more faith in Jimmy Garoppolo than Tom Savage. Maybe one day I’ll be able to spell Jimmy G’s name without looking it up. But yeah, I’m taking the 49ers to win two games in a row. Call me crazy. PICK: 49ers +3

Green Bay Packers (-3) at Cleveland Browns: This might be the Browns’ best and only chance to win a game this season. It’d be pretty fitting if they got a win only a few days after firing Sashi Brown and hiring John Dorsey. But this Packers team still has something to play for with an Aaron Rodgers return potentially on the horizon. Taking the Pack here knowing that this will probably be the week the Browns win. PICK: Packers -3

Minnesota Vikings (-2.5) at Carolina Panthers: This isn’t a tough one for me. The Vikings are looking really good and I don’t think the Panthers are really all that great. They’re kind of a fraud team to me. For the Eagles’ sake, it’d be great if Carolina wins this game. But I don’t expect it to happen. PICK: Vikings -2.5

Detroit Lions (-3) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: It sounds like Matthew Stafford plans on playing. The problem is he’s still banged up. I don’t really trust the Bucs much but this Lions team is on the brink of imploding down the stretch. PICK: Buccaneers +3

Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-4): This is the week the Chiefs bounce back! I keep saying this, and then it doesn’t turn out to be true, but for real this game. This is the week. Feel free to laugh at me when I’m wrong yet again. PICK: Chiefs -4

Dallas Cowboys (-4) at New York Giants: There’s part of me that feels like the Giants are going to put up more fight than expected in this one. Eli Manning is back as the starter and Ben McAdoo is gone. The guys are going to be hungry for a win against a division opponent. But then there’s part of me that feels like New York’s poor run defense won’t be able to contain the Cowboys. I’ll pick Dallas and hope I’m wrong about it. Knowing my luck, watch the Giants cover but still lose. PICK: Cowboys -4

New York Jets (-1) at Denver Broncos: Yeah, the Broncos are straight up trash. The Jets don’t have a great roster but at least they fight. Denver’s quarterback situation is just awful. And that’s saying something in a game where they’re playing the JETS. PICK: Jets -1

Washington Redskins at Los Angeles Chargers (-6): Washington is banged up and the Chargers have been hot lately. I like L..A. to win this one as they try to chase the AFC West crown.

Tennessee Titans (-2.5) at Arizona Cardinals: Yuck. The Titans are 8-4, but they’re not a very impressive 8-4. They actually have a negative point differential. Arizona is starting Blaine Gabbert, so it’s not like I can take them, but they usually play tough at home. Despite this, I’ll take the Titans because of the Gabbert factor. PICK: Titans -2.5

Seattle Seahawks at Jacksonville Jaguars (-3): I don’t know why people keep underestimating the Seahawks. Russell Wilson has the ability to negate some of Jacksonville’s defensive strengths. Defensively, the Seahawks can still stop the run. Blake Bortles could be good for at least a turnover or two in this one. I like the points here. PICK: Seahawks +3

Philadelphia Eagles at Los Angeles Rams (-1): The Eagles are going to beat the Rams. Make no mistake, Sean McVay’s squad is really good. Wade Phillips is the best defensive coordinator in the league. This will be a tough battle for Philly. But ultimately I feel like the Eagles match up well against the Rams. The Eagles’ defensive line should be able to get pressure on Jared Goff. The Eagles’ offense should be able to attack a Rams defense that isn’t good against the run. Eagles gonna get that W. PICK: Eagles +1

Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers (-4.5): The Steelers beat the Ravens 26-9 in Baltimore earlier this season. I have a feeling the game will be closer this time around. But I’ll still take the Steelers with home field advantage. PICK: Steelers -4.5

New England Patriots (-11) at Miami Dolphins: Miami showed signs of life last weekend by sticking it to the Broncos. They will do no such thing against New England. PICK: Patriots -11

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