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NFL Picks Against the Spread 2015: Week 10

Here are my suggestions when trying to beat the odds.

Mitchell Leff/Getty Images

Before Week 10 of the 2015 NFL season schedule kicks off, I thought we would have some fun by taking a look at the spreads for this week's round of games. (Click here for NFL Week 10 picks without regard to the spread.)

Here are my suggestions when trying to beat the odds. You can find all of today's NFL betting lines and more at the SB Nation odds page via OddsShark. My record so far this season is 53-63-4 after going 5-7 last week. Still not good.


Dallas Cowboys (-1) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: The Cowboys haven't won since Week 2 yet here they are favored on the road. It might not be that crazy after all. I don't trust Lovie Smith teams. This feels like a week where the Cowboys get a win and Dallas fans mistakenly get pumped up for Tony Romo's return next week. Enjoy the jinx, Dallas. Pick: Cowboys -1

Jacksonville Jaguars at Baltimore Ravens (-4.5): Here's another funny line. The 2-6 Ravens are significant home favorites. Baltimore is a little better than their record indicates, so I don't think the Jags win here. It's just a matter if Joe Flacco and co. can cover. Pick: Ravens -4.5

New Orleans Saints at Washington Redskins (+1.5): I have a hard time trusting New Orleans on the road, especially after losing to the Titans at home last week. Their defense is just so bad. Washington should be able to find some success against it. Pick: Washington +1.5

Chicago Bears at St. Louis Rams (-7): The Bears have looked a lot more competitive in recent weeks after getting off to a bad 0-3 start. They haven't lost a game by more than three point since Week 3 when they got beat soundly by Seattle. The Rams offense isn't going to be able to put up a lot of points with Nick Foles at quarterback so I'll take my chances with Chi-town. Pick: Bears +7

Miami Dolphins at Philadelphia Eagles (-6): The Eagles may have turned the corner after getting off to a slow start. They're 3-1 in their last four games. Miami hasn't done much to inspire confidence this season outside of two big wins immediately following their coaching change to Dan Campbell. The new coach bump has since worn off so I think the Birds might actually take care of business here. Pick: Eagles -6

Carolina Panthers (-6) at Tennessee Titans: This has "trap game" potential written all over it for the Panthers, but they've been too good to bet against at this point. Pick: Panthers -6

Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers (-11): The Lions haven't won a game at Lambeau Field in a billion years. That's not about to change this season. Pick: Packers -11

Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (-6.5): I don't think Landry Jones is good enough for the Steelers to deserve a spread this big. I'll take the Browns to make this one close and probably regret it later. Pick: Browns +6.5

Minnesota Vikings at Oakland Raiders (-3): A battle between two young and promising quarterbacks in the league: Teddy Bridgewater versus Derek Carr. This should be a good one. I've been a fan of betting on the Raiders this season because they've been underrated but I'll go with the Vikings here since they're getting points. Pick: Vikings +3

New England Patriots (-7.5) at New York Giants: The G-Men have inexplicably beaten the Patriots to win two Super Bowls, so you know they're bound to do it again here, right?. Nah. Take the Pats. Pick: Patriots -7.5

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos (-6): Weird blip on the radar for the Broncos to lose in Indianapolis last week. They'll get back on track this week as they return to Mile High. Pick: Broncos -6

Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks (-3): Both teams are coming off their bye week, so there goes the advantage of extra rest. The Cardinals have clearly been the better team this season and they're getting points so why not take them. Pick: Cardinals +3

Houston Texans at Cincinnati Bengals (-11): Can't help but feel like the Bengals are going to kick the crap out of Bill O'Brien's team here. Pick: Bengals -11

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