NFL Fantasy Football: Start 'Em/Sit 'Em Advice - Week 16

We are changing things up a bit! No show this week, but we will be giving you advice for the week. As always, bring us your fantasy football dilemmas of who to start and who to sit and we are more than happy to try and guide you to victory.

We really want everyone that plays Fantasy Football to get involved! Use the thread for all your fantasy questions & comments, but most importantly… bring some snacks, kick off your shoes and enjoy.

**Don't forget to join the BGN Fanduel league!**

Quarterbacks

By Tony Casale

START

Drew Brees Vs ATL ($9,100)

Most seasons Drew Brees is an every week must start, and if you’re in the fantasy playoffs it’s no different. This week, however, Brees is also a nice play in daily leagues. There are four more expensive quarterbacks this week, and Brees faces the Falcons, the worst pass defense in the league.

Matt Ryan @ N.O. ($8,700)

Need a QB who is just a bit cheaper than Brees and also playing a terrible pass defense? Perhaps I can interest you in Matt Ryan. I haven’t checked the over/under on this game yet, but it will likely be around 150 points.

Matthew Stafford @CHI ($8,200)

It’s all about match ups, and you know who else hates defending the pass? The Chicago Bears. Not only is the pass defense struggling, but the offense won’t be able to stay on the field. $8,200 is a steal for 350 yards and three touchdowns.

SIT

Russell Wilson @ ARI ($8,600)

Russell Wilson will not be a bust, but he is becoming a fantasy game manager. What puts Wilson on the sit-list is his lack of value in daily fantasy leagues. He rarely throws for 300 yards (just once this season), and if he doesn’t hit his rushing numbers, he won’t win you the big one.

Philip Rivers @ SF ($8,000)

While San Francisco’s playoff hopes have been dashed, their defense still plays with a lot of heart. Opposing QB’s are only throwing 206 yards per game against the Niners this season, good enough for third in the league. Keenan Allen is also out with a broken collarbone, taking away one of Rivers weapons.

Eli Manning @ STL ($7,700)

No one wants to play St. Louis right now. Even when they lose, their defense plays hard and well. Eli has played solid football over the last few weeks, but that was against Jacksonville, Tennessee, and Washington. This week  will be a different story. Yes, Odell Beckham will be good again, but he’ll be the only one.

Wide Receivers

By James Seltzer

START

Jeremy Maclin @ WAS ($8,000)

Maclin scorched Washington - 8 receptions, 154 yards, and a TD - in the Week 3. Washington is even worse defensively now, than they were then, and have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing WR's (standard scoring) this season, including allowing 20 or more points in each of their last five contests (36, 20, 40, 24, 36). Furthermore, this Eagles' offense will want to get the bad taste out of their mouth from the past two weeks, and they should be able to exploit Washington's pass defense. As if that weren't enough, with DeSean on the other sideline, you know Maclin is going to want to have a big day, and Washington is the perfect matchup for him to do it.

Mike Evans vs. GB ($7,900)

Green Bay is going to slaughter the Bucs. That means that Tampa will have to throw the ball a lot. The Packers have struggled against WR's lately, including allowing 30 or more fantasy points to opposing WR's in four of the last seven weeks. And, despite a drop in Evans' yardage totals over the last few weeks, he is still getting the targets - averaging 10 targets/game over the last month - he needs to be successful, AND has scored 9 TD's in the last 7 games. I think Evans busts out with another huge outing in Week 16.

Julian Edelman @ NYJ ($7,600)

Edelman has been outstanding of late, especially over the last two weeks - 14 and 20 points respectively (standard scoring) - as he has become Tom Brady's go to option, leading the team in targets each game for the last month. The Jets are terrible against the pass, and have allowed the sixth-most yards to opposing WR's. Edelman will be someone you can count on this week, as he has an extremely low floor, points wise, along with the potential for a big game.

SIT

Emmanuel Sanders vs CIN ($8,100)

Sanders has scored single digit fantasy points (standard scoring) in each of the last three weeks. He has not scored a touchdown in over a month. The Bengals have been tremendous at stopping WR's this season, as they have allowed the second-least fantasy points to opposing WR's. Lastly, Peyton is clearly not himself, and it appears the Broncos are going to continue to lean on CJ Anderson and the running game. It is not the best week to be starting Sanders.

Josh Gordon @ CAR ($7,500)

This hurts my soul. I love Josh Gordon, and I totally believed that he would win people fantasy leagues by going nuts over the last month of the season. That has been proved to be false, as Gordon has really struggled since returning to action, only reaching double digit fantasy points in his first game back. Add in the fact that he has a QB who looked as bad as an NFL QB can look last week, and I do not have high (pun not intended) hopes for Gordon in Week 16.

Mike Wallace vs. MIN ($7,000)

Wallace is coming off his best fantasy outing of the season. However, Wallace has been hot and cold all season, and is certainly not someone you can count on week in and week out. Also, the Dolphins were forced to throw the ball a lot last week, as they were getting blown out by the Pats. Minnesota's pass defense has been sneaky good this season - sixth-best pass defense in terms of yards allowed per game - and they have struggled to stop the run. This feels way more like a Lamar Miller game, than a Mike Wallace game.

Tight Ends

By James Seltzer

START

Travis Kelce @ PIT ($5,600)

Kelce is coming off back-to-back double digit fantasy point outings, and has seen his targets increase over the past two weeks as well. Pittsburgh is terrible against the pass, and Kelce is the Chiefs' best receiver. Look for Kansas City to feed Travis Kelce this week, and expect the results to be strong from a fantasy perspective. Kelce is a great play in Week 16.

Dwayne Allen @ DAL ($5,400)

Generally, in fantasy football, you want to avoid players who are "touchdown dependent." In other words, players who rely on TD's to get you fantasy points, and not on yards/receptions/targets, are often not players you can count on. However, Dwayne Allen is proving to be the exception to the rule. In the 10 games Allen has received a target in this season (he was active but did not see the field due to injury in 2 other games) the tight end has caught a TD in 8 of them. That is insane. Add in a matchup with a Cowboys defense that has allowed the third-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends, including 10 TD's allowed, and Allen is a nice bet to find the End Zone again in Week 16, and thus be a worthwhile start at tight end.

Jason Witten vs. IND ($5,300)

Witten has had a down season, by his normal standards, but is coming off a game where he has his most targets/receptions/yards since Week 8. Indy has really struggled against tight ends this season, allowing the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season. Furthermore, with Vontae Davis, most likely, following Dez around, Romo will need to utilize Witten more than he would in a normal week. Add all that up, and Witten is a nice start in Week 16.

SIT

Larry Donnell @ STL ($5,000)

Donnell has not scored a TD in over a month, and it has been just as long since he scored double digit fantasy points in a game. The Rams have allowed the second-least amount of fantasy points to opposing tight ends, and have been dominant on defense, in general, over the last month. Sit Donnell this week.

Jordan Reed vs. PHI

Reed has struggled the last two weeks - 6 receptions for 18 yards combined - and has been dealing injuries all season long. Perhaps more important, when RGIII is playing QB, Reed's numbers drop dramatically. In the four games Griffin and Reed have played together this season, Reed is averaging under 2 receptions/game and 14 yards receiving/game. That is hideous. Griffin simply does not utilize Reed when is under center. Add in a matchup with an Eagles' defense that has allowed the fourth-least points to opposing tight ends, and Reed seems like an easy sit in Week 16.

Kyle Rudolph @ MIA ($5,200)

Rudolph is dealing with knee and ankle injuries that have hampered him all season. Though he is coming off a decent outing in Week 15 - 7 receptions for 69 yards - he was, more or less, invisible over the previous two weeks - 4 receptions for 16 yards total. Miami has been strong this season at defending the tight end, allowing the sixth-least amount of fantasy points to opposing tight ends. Sit Rudolph in Week 16.

Defense

By James Seltzer

START

Green Bay @ TAM ($5,100)

Tampa Bay has allowed the second-most fantasy points to opposing defenses and has yielded the second-most turnovers as well. Green Bay's defense has played well of late, and will have the opportunity to play with a lead, which usually leads to sacks and turnovers. The Packers' D/ST is a nice start in Week 16.

SIT

Kansas City @ PIT ($5,000)

The Steelers have been putting up points in bunches, and they have the league's hottest RB in Le'Veon Bell. The Chiefs have been atrocious against the run - third-worst in the NFL - and have struggled to stop high-powered offenses. This is a good week to sit the Chiefs in fantasy.