NFL Picks Against the Spread 2014: Week 7

Before Week 7 of the 2014 NFL season kicks off, I thought we would have some fun by taking a look at the spreads for this week's round of games. (Click here for NFL Week 7 picks without regard to the spread.)

Here are my suggestions when trying to beat Vegas. You can find all of today's NFL betting lines and more at the SB Nation odds page. My record so far this season: 37-43-2. (Last week's picks.)

I finished below .500 at 5-7-1. Yuck.

2014 NFL WEEK 7

Atlanta Falcons at Baltimore Ravens (-7): The Ravens are coming off a 48-17 win that took place in Tampa Bay over the Buccaneers. It could be another big day for Baltimore this week around. The Falcons haven't won a road game in regulation since 2012. Home team makes the most sense here. Pick: Ravens -7

Cleveland Browns (-6) at Jacksonville Jaguars: The Browns are one of the biggest surprises of the 2014 NFL season. All that stands between them and a 4-2 record is the lowly Jaguars, who kept it close against the Titans in Week 6. I don't think Jacksonville is much of a threat. Browns get the comfortable win here. Pick: Browns -6

Minnesota Vikings at Buffalo Bills (-6): This game feels uninspiring. The Bills make the most sense to me because I'm not sure the Vikings are really any good. Pick: Bills -6

Tennessee Titans at Washington Redskins (-5.5): The Titans almost lost to the Jaguars. They're pretty awful. I like Washington here. Pick: Washington -5.5

Seattle Seahawks (-7) at St. Louis Rams: Trading away Percy Harvin and coming off their non-divisional home loss since 2011. How will the Seahawks ever respond to that? By playing and beating the Rams, of course. Pick: Seahawks -7

Miami Dolphins at Chicago Bears (-3.5): The Bears have been some kind of road warriors this season but are still looking for a home win. Think they get it here. Pick: Bears -3.5

New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions (-2): Detroit's defense is legitimate and the New Orleans defense is not so much. That's good news for a struggling Lions offense. I'm just not sure what the Saints have done to be less than the standard three point underdogs. Pick: Lions -2

Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers (-6.5): This Carolina Panthers team is pretty weird. They lost to the uninspiring Steelers by three scores at home and then went on to earn a tough tie (if such a thing exists) in Cincy. I'm not high on the Panthers but I can't bet against them right now. I think they cover. Pick: Panthers +6.5

Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts (-3): The Bengals haven't won a game since two days short of a month. I don't like them on the road as much as I do when they're home. Pick: Colts -3

Kansas City Chiefs at San Diego Chargers (-4): If the Raiders can play the Chargers close, why can't the Chiefs. Kansas City really needs this win to stay alive in a tough AFC West. I'll bet on their desperation here. Pick: Chiefs +4

New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys (-7): Interesting line. The Cowboys are coming off a great win and the Giants are coming off a big loss but this one should be closer than the line would have you believe. Consider the G-men are 4-1 in their last 5 road meetings with Cowboys. Also, Dallas is 0-4 against the spread in their last four games as a home favorite. Pick: Giants +7

Arizona Cardinals (-4) at Oakland Raiders: The Raiders played the Chargers tough last week but they're still just not very good. Can't bet on them. Pick: Cardinals -4

San Francisco 49ers at Denver Broncos (-7): Should be a good game. I definitely think Denver wins here, but will they cover? Chances are, yes. The Broncos have won every home game in the Peyton Manning era by at least seven points, save for a seven point loss to the Chargers in 2013. Pick: Broncos -7

Houston Texans at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5): Not really that confident in the Steelers. Texans make sense as underdogs here. Pick: Texans +3.5