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NFL Picks Against the Spread 2014: Week 6

Here are my suggestions when trying to beat Las Vegas.

Jeffrey G. Pittenger-USA TODAY Sports

Before Week 6 of the 2014 NFL season kicks off, I thought we would have some fun by taking a look at the spreads for this week's round of games. (Click here for NFL Week 6 picks without regard to the spread.)

Here are my suggestions when trying to beat Vegas. You can find all of today's NFL betting lines and more at the SB Nation odds page. My record so far this season: 32-36-1. (Last week's picks.)

I finished above .500 at 8-6. Easily could have been 9-5 without a backdoor cover from the Rams, but alas.

2014 NFL WEEK 6

Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings (-2): The Lions kicker problem is probably solved now with the addition of Matt Prater. The Detroit defense looks good and I think taking them with the points is a nice bonus. Pick: Lions +2

Denver Broncos (-10) at New York Jets: How can anyone bet on the Jets with the way they're playing? Pick: Broncos -10

New England Patriots (-3) at Buffalo Bills: The Patriots looked like they were toast. Then they stomped the previously undefeated Bengals at home. Still, I'm not sure what to make of this New England team. I'll take the Bills with home field advantage and the points. Pick: Bills +3

Baltimore Ravens (-3.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: The Bucs have been playing better in recent weeks. They beat the Steelers thanks to a late comeback effort and then they played the Saints tough on the road. The Ravens are better than those teams, however, and I think they can handle Tampa Bay. Pick: Ravens -3.5

Carolina Panthers at Cincinnati Bengals (-7): The Bengals are coming off a bad road loss but they're darn good at home. Carolina, meanwhile, remains the only team with a winning record and a negative point differential. Cincy makes the most sense here. Pick: Bengals -7

Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans (-3.5): Yuck. Two really bad teams. It's hard to bet on the Jaguars because of how bad they've been, but the Titans haven't been much better. Home team wins out. Pick: Titans -3.5

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns (-1): The Steelers haven't been very impressive. Pittsburgh only beat the lowly Jaguars by one score. the Browns have generally played teams close but they needed the largest road comeback in NFL history to beat the lowly Titans. Pittsburgh is the pick. Pick: Steelers +1

Green Bay Packers (-3) at Miami Dolphins: The Dolphins should be well rested coming off their bye week. I don't think that will matter much when they face a red hot Aaron Rodgers. Pick the Pack. Pick: Packers -3

San Diego Chargers (-7) at Oakland Raiders: The Bolts might be the best team in all of football right now and they're only favored by one touchdown. That's a steal in my book. Pick: Chargers -7

Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons (-3): Atlanta has unsurprisingly dealt with road struggles the past few weeks but they should be able to rebound at home. They're a much better home team than road team. Pick: Falcons -3

Washington Redskins at Arizona Cardinals (-3.5) - D.C. is playing on short rest having lost to the Seahawks on Monday Night Football. The Cardinals would be the easy pick here if not for the fact there's no clue as to who will start at quarterback for them. If it's rookie Logan Thomas, I just can't bet on him. I have to take the points here. Pick: Washington +3.5

Dallas Cowboys at Seattle Seahawks (-9): The reigning champions should be able to find a way to slow down the Cowboys' rushing attack. Once that happens, the Dallas defense, which is allowing a league-high 6.4 yards per play, will be exposed. Pick: Seahawks -9

New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles (-3): The Birds have won seven straight regular season games at home. The Giants are coming into this big game red hot. Taking the G-men seems like the safer pick but that's not the way I'm going to go. Pick: Eagles -3

San Francisco 49ers (-3.5) at St. Louis Rams: The 49ers don't inspire a ton of confidence. They've seemed to rebound after a slow start but they are winning games close. That said, the Rams inspire even less confidence despite the fact Austin Davis has seemed to play OK. Still, San Fran makes more sense here. Pick: 49ers -3.5

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