Week 8 NFL picks against the spread

Chargers at Browns (+3) - The big question in this game is whether Trent Richardson will play and if so can he be effective? If the answer is yes, then there is a lot to like about Cleveland as a home dog here. That said, as loathe as I am to trust San Diego, I like them here. Pick: Chargers

Seahawks at Lions (-1) - Its hard to like the Lions after their awful performance last week, but they were on the back end of 2 straight games. While Seattle's defense is tough, I like Detroit to bounce back at home and with their backs to the wall a bit here. Pick: Lions

Jaguars at Packers (-14.5) - First off, stay away from this one! This is a silly line for the NFL and all too often bettors get burned going for big favorites. Yes, the Packers will win, but just remember that if they win 24-7, you lose. This game just screams backdoor cover where the Jags grab a late TD or something in garbage time to cover the spread. For that reason, I actually like the Jags a little bit. Pick: Jaguars

Colts at Titans (-3.5) - My initial feeling was to go with the home team here, but the trends surprisingly all favor the the Colts. Pick: Colts

Patriots "at" Rams (+7) - I put "at" in quotes because this game is in London and the Rams are only technically a home team. These are typically pretty sloppy games in London so anything is possible, but the Pats seem like a safe bet. Pick: Patriots

Dolphins at Jets (-1) - I'm actually surprised this line is just 1. Not sure how the Dolphins proved themselves so good and the Jets so bad that they don't even get the typical 3 points at home. I really like NY here. Jets, by the way, are 5-2 against the spread this year. Pick: Jets

Falcons at Eagles (-3) - Most of the money has come in on the Falcons here and this line has moved up to -3 from -1 at the open. While the Eagles have proven to be unpredictable, they are 13-0 coming off the bye under Andy Reid and Atlanta, a typically poor road team, should be looking at some very poor weather this Sunday. Pick: Eagles

Redskins at Steelers (-4.5) - People seem to have really bought into the Redskins and 60% of the money has come in on them here. But that ignores all the trends and the fact that only 2 NFC teams in 10 years have overcome the Steelers in Pittsburgh. all trends point to a Steelers win and cover here. Pick: Steelers

Raiders at Chiefs (-1) - Brady Quinn will be the KC starter in this one, which probably explains why this is almost a pick-em. That said, I don't know the awful Carson Palmer on the other side doesn't counterbalance that. Pick: Chiefs

Giants at Cowboys (+1) - After beating the Giants in week 1, Dallas are home dogs here, but with good reason. Trends really favor the Giants here, who have typically played well in big D. Pick: Giants

Saints at Broncos (-6) - Almost 66% of the money has come in on New Orleans here, but I just don't see it. They've had an offensive resurgence, but their defense is still arguably the worst in the league. Both teams will score, but Denver's D should put up more of a fight. I actually like them to win comfortably. Pick: Broncos

49ers at Cardinals (+7) - This is a very tricky game here. We've got a 4-3 team as a 7 point home dog here. I think that's too much to pass up. Pick: Cardinals