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Kevin Kolb fits "the 26-27-60 rule"

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John Lopez of SI.com wrote an interesting article about "the 26-27-60 rule" which is supposed to predict QB success in the NFL. He explains.

Here is the gist of it: If an NFL prospect scores at least a 26 on the Wonderlic test, starts at least 27 games in his college career and completes at least 60 percent of his passes, there's a good chance he will succeed at the NFL level.

This "rule" is something we mentioned back after the draft of 2007, when Kevin Kolb was the only QB taken who fit the rule. So far, that draft has proven the "the 26-27-60 rule" to be true. If Kolb turns out to be a player, then it's going to be scary how accurate this metric is. Kevin Kolb scored a 28 on the Wonderlic, started 50 games in college, and completed 62% of his passes. The list of notable QB prospects who fit all three parts of the rule is impressive.

Peyton Manning, Phillip Rivers, Eli Manning, Drew Brees, Tony Romo, Matt Schaub, Kyle Orton, Kevin Kolb, Matt Ryan, Ryan Fitzpatrick and Matt Stafford.
The list of top picks who failed at least one of the conditions?
Ryan Leaf, Joey Harrington, Michael Vick, Akili Smith, Tim Couch, Daunte Culpepper, David Carr, Vince Young and JaMarcus Russell.
Ironically, one of the two notable exceptions to "the rule" was Donovan McNabb, who only scored a 14 on his Wonderlic.

The Eagles most recent QB pick, Mike Kakfa, started 19 games in college, completed 64% of his passes, and supposedly got over a 30 on his wonderlic(but the info isn't readily available.) He fell a half season short on starts, but fits all the other criteria.


So does the fact that Kolb fits "the rule" give you any more confidence in his ability to be a franchise QB?

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