FanPost

What a Difference a Year Makes (part 1 offense edition)

Losing last night was less than ideal. Some mistakes were made but overall our coaches coached a very good game. Our players played well and made plays. We went down by 13 points and fought our way back to MAKE New Orleans and Drew Brees need a game winning drive. And then gave them the ball at the 50ish to only need 15-20 yards to win the game. Like I said, less than ideal. With all that said, did anyone imagine last year, we would be in this position? The Eagles STOCK is soaring. Let’s take a moment to acknowledge one of the best GROWTH stories of the 2013 season. Lets take a look at our club on the rise.

Nick_foles_onyx_relic_medium

via 1.bp.blogspot.com


QB is the playboy position of an NFL franchise so let’s start there. If we were to only judge the future of this franchise on the QB position it would be a meteoric rise to the top. Foles has his cleats and "uni" in the HOF and led the league in passer rating this year. Sounds great to all of us I'm sure. Let’s take a closer look.

Year

Player

Comp%

TD/INT

Yards

Fum

Sacks

QBR

QB Rating

2012

Vick,Foles

59%

18/15

4075

na

48

78

2013

Foles, Vick

61%

32/9

4406

na

46

102

2012

Vick

58%

12//10

2362

11

28

45

78

2013

Foles

64%

27/2

2891

4

28

69

119

Across the board, soup to nuts the most is important position on a football team is heading due north for us. "We fly high….BALLLIN" Fur reals! One season, a career does not make. But with Maclin going down and Cooper stepping up(both FA’s) and still our QB(s) making this type of QUANTUM leap leaves this analyst hitting the "bullish not bear button" and screaming buy buy buy! The 2014 projection is a steady growth story, with substantial growth in yards and healthy growth in TD’s and a decrease in sacks, with everything else to stay around the same levels.

Lesean_shady_mccoy_wallpaper_medium

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Beyond a shadow of a doubt Shady is a top 3 back in the NFL. And inside Chip Kelly’s offense Shady blotted out the sun. But he wasn’t the only player. Last year was a down year for our rushing attack. We finished 13 in the NFL. In 2010, we set the franchise record with 2,324 followed by 2,236 yards and finished 4th in the NFL in rushing. In the first year under Chip, we soared right by that old record recording 2,566 yards rushing, on our way to the leagues rushing title as a team and Shady as a player.

Year

Player

Ru.Yards

Rec.Yards

TD

Rec

YPC

20+

2012

McCoy

840

373

6

54

4.2

7

2013

McCoy

1607

549

11

52

5.1

9

2012

Team

1874

429

10

69

4.5

14

2013

Team

2566

684

19

64

5.1

19

It’s easy to be bullish on the rushing sector of this portfolio. Top 3 rusher, supported by a strong cast of role players; I’m issuing a buy and hold strategy on the rushing sector. But I'm guessing no one needed to be told that.

Desean_jackson_by_nbaman023_medium

via th09.deviantart.net


We had a rough start with Maclin our 2nd best WR going down in camp. Then Benn a hopeful addition to the thin WR squad also went down. I am not including every WR’s stats for comparison, rather just our best WR. One of the head coaches’ jobs is getting the ball in the hands of his best players so that they can make plays. We will take a look at that AND the overall performance of the receiving sector of our portfolio.

Year

Palyer

Rec

Tar

Yards

Avg

TD

20+

YAC

2012

Djax

45

85

857

15.6

2

12

244

2013

Djax

82

126

1332

16.2

9

25

463

2009

Djax

62

117

1,156

18.6

9

18

406

2012

Eagles

367

618

4,075

11.1

18

51

1,949

2013

Eagles

310

508

4,406

14.2

32

80!!

1,928

Anything jump out to you guys? Okay well a couple of things. Let’s highlight the most important ones. Did Chip get the ball into his play makers hands? YES! 20 more times on 9 more tries. But the BIG DEAL to me is look at the YAC across the board! On 57 less receptions we almost matched the YAC of last year. Chip …..and Foles are getting the ball in our WR’s hands in space. Hence the HUGE jump in the 20+ yard gains and average yard per reception. If we scan back up to the QB sector we can see in a much higher completion percentage too. More yards, better average, more TD’s, more explosive and better YAC AND more efficient! Crack a beer, roll a doob, do what you do and BUY BUY BUY the WR sector. It has the most growth potential of the portfolio. Injured, inherited WR from another scheme not picked for their blocking skills and new to a system. I’m predicting a 4,800-5,000 yard year next year with TD’s around the same level.

Everyone and their mother….mothers mother knows the Eagles took flight this year under Kellys offense. BTW, no injuries late in the year due to players wearing down from the mass amounts of plays as predicted by many. Kelly’s offense is not a gimmick as was said either. We did however crush it across the board QB, RB’s and WR’s, from the stars to support cast. Here’s how it looked.

Year

Yards

Ydspg

Pass

Rush

PPG

2012

5665

354

3791

1874

17.5

2013

6676

417

4110

2566

27.6

AR best(2010)

6230

389

3906

2324

27.4

So in Chips first year in the NFL he topped AR’s best year, and did while not having his personnel to run his system. Now I’m not saying Chip inherited a bad bunch. Definitely not saying his offense that he inherited was anywhere near the horrible unit AR inherited from his predecessor. But fact is Chip runs a different system than AR. He values different qualities. He hired Shumar to come in and help him adjust his concepts to the NFL defensive concepts. With all this he did it and bested a tenured coach’s best year from one of the most coveted professional coaching trees in AR. Yup! You guessed buy the head coach sector/offense sector of this portfolio. It’s a growth story with an excellent Alpha, a low beta with dividends on steroids. What a difference a year make!









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