FanPost

For future drafts... should depth in front seven > depth in secondary?

(this is a re-post from a comment I made on an article. I felt like making it into a fanpost as it's been something I've been thinking a lot regarding this new era)

This is just an open question and I’m not assuming or stating as fact anything (I only assume that this team's defense will resemble a 3-4 in the coming years):

while I always prefer BPA to need (if you see that blue chip safety and you can get him, take him), when that isn't possible, or already addressed, I think our draft priorities depth-wise should be at LB and defensive line over the secondary.

What higher percentage of points do you think are scored in the NFL, through big passing plays or through running the ball? How many stops happen due to quality backfield tackling, or defusing momentum at the LOS? Which is more common?

What more important game-changing plays do you think set the pace of NFL games these days, downs converted through passing or handoffs? And of those passes, how many are 'big play' bombs downfield? I’m curious as to the statistics behind this, by no means do I assume I know the general trend.

I’d believe that there is a certain threshold of elite QB play that no amount of secondary depth for depth’s sake is truly able to counter. Simply stockpiling CBs in a draft because of need will not make a significant difference in stopping quality QBs who can make any average WR look magnetic. I wonder if NFL stats support my hunch on that.

In this passing league, elite passes are going to be elite passes. I think the biggest threat to our defense is seeing offenses tear through the middle of the field. But depth in the front seven (if we are more or less 3-4 in a few years) always has the potential to destroy pockets and get turnovers. Just a thought and I’m open to any disagreements.

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