It's easy, if at 4 you don't think there is this can't miss player, just trade down. I'm sure there will be a tackle or another player there that someone will want to trade up for. A move down to 8 would get you at least a 3rd rounder. A move down to 12 with Miami could get us a 2nd or a 3rd and another pick.
And we're selecting 3rd in the 2nd round. Moving back up into like the 25th spot would cost us no more than a 3rd rounder that we'd get from our original trade down. So just for trading down a couple of spots, we'd be drafting two first-rounders. I think it's a no-brainer if they're not set on selecting someone at 4.
With the 8th and 25th pick you have a lot more flexibility to get who you want rather than being at 4 and 35. I would say keep trading down until you get somewhere in the middle of the 1st round, then get one of your targeted players and you'll have a few additional picks to play with in the 2nd to 5th rounds.
With two 1st rounders, you could get your corner and your safety (i.e. Trufant and Cyprien), or your DE and LB (i.e. Richardson and Ogletree), or something else. And you know either at the 8th or 12th spot there are going to be a couple of players slipping that you have graded higher, so you might be able to get that surprise player. Maybe Tavon Austin slips to 8 or even 12. Or maybe Geno Smith, if they like him. Maybe Lane Johnson is still there at 8. The point being, there are so many options when you trade down. And this year more than ever, there aren't that many great players to be had in the top-5, and maybe the good ones get taken by the time you select at 4, all the more reason to trade down.
And if you trade down to our example of 8 or 12th spot, you don't have to move up with the 35th pick, you can stay there and keep the additional picks from trading down to do some damage in the 2nd or 3rd rounds. I think the key word in this draft is volume, if you can have more picks in the mid rounds, there is supposedly a lot of depth in those rounds at various positions.
The tough part is going to be getting someone to trade up to our spot and give up some picks in return. But with the right team, if they're desperate enough, and if a players falls to 4 where that team might want to jump up, with that type of scenario, we would be in a good situation.
Worst comes to worst, you draft bpa at 4, there's nothing wrong with that, but just imagine the possibilities and flexibility if we traded down...
Share what combinations you would go for with two 1st round picks. See below for the top players and Trade Value.
Scout Inc's Top 32 Players
Player | Pos. | School | Grade |
---|---|---|---|
1. Luke Joeckel* | OT | Texas A&M | 97 |
2. Eric Fisher | OT | C. Michigan | 96 |
3. Star Lotulelei | DT | Utah | 96 |
4. Dee Milliner* | CB | Alabama | 95 |
5. Dion Jordan | OLB | Oregon | 95 |
6. Sharrif Floyd* | DT | Florida | 95 |
7. Ezekiel Ansah | DE | BYU | 95 |
8. Chance Warmack | G | Alabama | 95 |
9. Jonathan Cooper | OG | N. Carolina | 94 |
10. Lane Johnson | OT | Oklahoma | 94 |
11. S. Richardson* | DT | Missouri | 93 |
12. Barkevious Mingo* | DE | LSU | 93 |
13. Alec Ogletree* | ILB | Georgia | 93 |
14. Tavon Austin | WR | W. Virginia | 93 |
15. Tyler Eifert | TE | Notre Dame | 93 |
16. Kenny Vaccaro | S | Texas | 93 |
17. Sylvester Williams | DT | N. Carolina | 92 |
18. Desmond Trufant | CB | Washington | 92 |
19. Jarvis Jones* | OLB | Georgia | 92 |
20. Geno Smith | QB | W. Virginia | 91 |
21. D.J. Fluker* | OT | Alabama | 91 |
22. Keenan Allen* | WR | California | 91 |
23. Bjoern Werner* | DE | Florida St. | 91 |
24. Manti Te'o | ILB | Notre Dame | 90 |
25. D.J. Hayden | DB | Houston | 90 |
26. Johnathan Jenkins | DT | Georgia | 90 |
27. Justin Pugh* | OT | Syracuse | 90 |
28. Menelik Watson* | OT | Florida St. | 89 |
29. Jamar Taylor | CB | Boise St. | 89 |
30. Datone Jones | DE | UCLA | 89 |
31. Kawann Short | DT | Purdue | 89 |
32. Matt Barkley | QB | USC | 89 |
* Denotes draft-eligible non-senior |
Ourlad's NFL Draft Value chart:
Round 1 | Round 2 | Round 3 | Round 4 | Round 5 | Round 6 | Round 7 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 3,000 | 33 | 580 | 65 | 265 | 97 | 112 | 129 | 43 | 161 | 27 | 193 | 14.2 |
2 | 2,600 | 34 | 560 | 66 | 260 | 98 | 108 | 130 | 42 | 162 | 26.6 | 194 | 13.8 |
3 | 2,200 | 35 | 550 | 67 | 255 | 99 | 104 | 131 | 41 | 163 | 26.2 | 195 | 13.4 |
4 | 1,800 | 36 | 540 | 68 | 250 | 100 | 100 | 132 | 40 | 164 | 25.8 | 196 | 13 |
5 | 1,700 | 37 | 530 | 69 | 245 | 101 | 96 | 133 | 39.5 | 165 | 25.4 | 197 | 12.6 |
6 | 1,600 | 38 | 520 | 70 | 240 | 102 | 92 | 134 | 39 | 166 | 25 | 198 | 12.2 |
7 | 1,500 | 39 | 510 | 71 | 235 | 103 | 88 | 135 | 38.5 | 167 | 24.6 | 199 | 11.8 |
8 | 1,400 | 40 | 500 | 72 | 230 | 104 | 86 | 136 | 38 | 168 | 24.2 | 200 | 11.4 |
9 | 1,350 | 41 | 490 | 73 | 225 | 105 | 84 | 137 | 37.5 | 169 | 23.8 | 201 | 11 |
10 | 1,300 | 42 | 480 | 74 | 220 | 106 | 82 | 138 | 37 | 170 | 23.4 | 202 | 10.6 |
11 | 1,250 | 43 | 470 | 75 | 215 | 107 | 80 | 139 | 36.5 | 171 | 23 | 203 | 10.2 |
12 | 1,200 | 44 | 460 | 76 | 210 | 108 | 78 | 140 | 36 | 172 | 22.6 | 204 | 9.8 |
13 | 1,150 | 45 | 450 | 77 | 205 | 109 | 76 | 141 | 35.5 | 173 | 22.2 | 205 | 9.4 |
14 | 1,100 | 46 | 440 | 78 | 200 | 110 | 74 | 142 | 35 | 174 | 21.8 | 206 | 9 |
15 | 1,050 | 47 | 430 | 79 | 195 | 111 | 72 | 143 | 34.5 | 175 | 21.4 | 207 | 8.6 |
16 | 1,000 | 48 | 420 | 80 | 190 | 112 | 70 | 144 | 34 | 176 | 21 | 208 | 8.2 |
17 | 950 | 49 | 410 | 81 | 185 | 113 | 68 | 145 | 33.5 | 177 | 20.6 | 209 | 7.8 |
18 | 900 | 50 | 400 | 82 | 180 | 114 | 66 | 146 | 33 | 178 | 20.2 | 210 | 7.4 |
19 | 875 | 51 | 390 | 83 | 175 | 115 | 64 | 147 | 32.6 | 179 | 19.8 | 211 | 7 |
20 | 850 | 52 | 380 | 84 | 170 | 116 | 62 | 148 | 32.2 | 180 | 19.4 | 212 | 6.6 |
21 | 800 | 53 | 370 | 85 | 165 | 117 | 60 | 149 | 31.8 | 181 | 19 | 213 | 6.2 |
22 | 780 | 54 | 360 | 86 | 160 | 118 | 58 | 150 | 31.4 | 182 | 18.6 | 214 | 5.8 |
23 | 760 | 55 | 350 | 87 | 155 | 119 | 56 | 151 | 31 | 183 | 18.2 | 215 | 5.4 |
24 | 740 | 56 | 340 | 88 | 150 | 120 | 54 | 152 | 30.6 | 184 | 17.8 | 216 | 5 |
25 | 720 | 57 | 330 | 89 | 145 | 121 | 52 | 153 | 30.2 | 185 | 17.4 | 217 | 4.6 |
26 | 700 | 58 | 320 | 90 | 140 | 122 | 50 | 154 | 29.8 | 186 | 17 | 218 | 4.2 |
27 | 680 | 59 | 310 | 91 | 136 | 123 | 49 | 155 | 29.4 | 187 | 16.6 | 219 | 3.8 |
28 | 660 | 60 | 300 | 92 | 132 | 124 | 48 | 156 | 29 | 188 | 16.2 | 220 | 3.4 |
29 | 640 | 61 | 292 | 93 | 128 | 125 | 47 | 157 | 28.6 | 189 | 15.8 | 221 | 3 |
30 | 620 | 62 | 284 | 94 | 124 | 126 | 46 | 158 | 28.2 | 190 | 15.4 | 222 | 2.6 |
31 | 600 | 63 | 276 | 95 | 120 | 127 | 45 | 159 | 27.8 | 191 | 15 | 223 | 2.3 |
32 | 590 | 64 | 270 | 96 | 116 | 128 | 44 | 160 | 27.4 | 192 | 14.6 | 224 | 2 |
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