Week 16 NFL Picks against the spread

Patrick McDermott

There actually is a Saturday night game this week, so we'll start with that one.

Atlanta Falcons at Detroit Lions (+3.5) - My initial gut was to go with the Falcons here, but the trends and simulator like the Lions to cover. Pick: Lions

New Orleans Saints at Dallas Cowboys (-1) - This is a very hard to understand game. All the trends point to a Cowboys cover here, but 57% of the Vegas money is coming in on the Saints. Pick: Cowboys

Tennessee Titans at Green Bay Packers (-12.5) - Hate lines like this so much. Pick: Packers

Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs (+7) - Colts are a decent team and the Chiefs stink, but history tells us that 7 point home dogs typically do well. Pick: Chiefs

Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins (-4.5) - Pick: Dolphins

San Diego Chargers at New York Jets (-1) - Greg McIlroy starting here really makes this hard to pick. Pick: Jets

Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles (+7) - Basically the same scenario as the Chiefs. The team may be bad, but bad teams cover big spreads at home pretty often. Pick: Eagles

Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5) - Pick: Steelers

St. Louis Rams at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3) - Pick: Bucs

Oakland Raiders at Carolina Panthers (-9.5) - Pick: Raiders

New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars (+14.5) - Absurd line. Really like the Jags to cover here. Pick: Jaguars

Minnesota Vikings at Houston Texans (-9.5) - Best RB matchup of the year... maybe decade. Pick: Vikings

Cleveland Browns at Denver Broncos (-13) - Very tough one because of the size of the line. What's worse, all the trends are split. Pick: Broncos

Chicago Bears at Arizona Cardinals (+5.5) - Interesting to note that the Bears & Cards have almost the same record against the spread this year. I fully expect Chicago to let me down here. Pick: Bears

New York Giants at Baltimore Ravens (+1) - Really just picking the winner here. Pick: Giants

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks (pick) - Just a straight pick-em here. Pick: Seahawks

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Bleeding Green Nation

You must be a member of Bleeding Green Nation to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Bleeding Green Nation. You should read them.

Join Bleeding Green Nation

You must be a member of Bleeding Green Nation to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Bleeding Green Nation. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9341_tracker