"Doctors say that Nordberg has a 50/50 chance of living, though there's only a 10 percent chance of that."

by NJBammer on Dec 22, 2011 4:39 PM EST

Anyone here who might recognize this quote from "The Naked Gun" might appreciate how it applies to the Eagles at this time. Sure, the Eagles only have a low chance to make the playoffs, but if they do make it, well!

I found this little post over at Advanced NFL Stats where they looked at the high leverage games of the Eagles/Coyboys and Giants/Jets. Right now, the Eagles have only a 9% chance of making the playoffs, but if things break right this weekend, things look up quite a bit.

Interestingly, if the Giants win, it really doesn't matter who wins our game, as the post-season for the Boys and Giants will basically come down to their showdown the next week. Should the Giants lose, the Birds would have to beat Dallas, and then would have a relatively impressive 44% chance of making the playoffs, due to the fact they will be heavily favored to beat the Redskins the next week, and the Giants would be a slight favorite to win at home.

We all know this, of course, but what I found interesting was this little tidbit:

While the Eagles' chances at a playoff berth are slim, if they do make it into the playoffs they have a fairly decent shot at putting together a run, with a 30% chance of making it to the NFC Championship game (including a 6% probability of their first ever Super Bowl win.)

So, we have a 30% chance of making it to the NFC Championship, but only a 9% chance of that happening! Considering how our season looked 2 weeks ago, I'll take them odds!

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Comments

Love it absolutely love it.

I hope I am wrong, but Kolb is a four-letter word.
With 10,000 characters in their alphabet, what does a Chinese keyboard look like?

by Cowboy KILLER on Dec 22, 2011 5:09 PM EST reply actions

Rec'd

Adult male predictions of the outcome of football games expressed as a % chance are the equivalent of 10 year old girls and their Ouija boards predicting what boy will make a move on them.

by waterfield on Dec 22, 2011 8:39 PM EST reply actions 1 recs

Rec'd this

comment of the year.

"Difficulties strengthen the mind, as labor does the body."
― Seneca

by NJBammer on Dec 23, 2011 7:58 AM EST up reply actions

so thats how you spell ouija

I'M GONNA TRIP BALLS!!! -Frank Reynolds

by Mapost1 on Dec 23, 2011 7:43 PM EST up reply actions

lol

REC

by bloodyhanded on Dec 23, 2011 10:08 AM EST reply actions

multiply the two together champ

it’s actually a 2.7% chance as of right now that the Eagles make the NFC Title Game

Prediction: the 3-4 will be out of style in two years.
So no, I will not shut up about stupidity.

by bdawk4ever on Dec 11, 2011 1:39 PM EST

by packimop on Dec 23, 2011 10:50 AM EST reply actions

90% of sports related predictions

are 85% wrong. While I’m hoping for a Christmas Eve miracle, I’m planning for an extended bout of depression. My old stool at Marie Calendar’s awaits.

The coaches are to blame, the players are to blame. Sorry to say, but Andy has lost this team. 53 super talented individuals with no heart.

by oldasquick on Dec 23, 2011 12:04 PM EST reply actions