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Buy Low and Sell High for Week 6

Hey everyone, I want to add a second post a week that will discuss various things. I have a few ideas for this and I wanted to test them out and see how they were received. The post is all about Buy low and sell high. Its a simple concept that is often misunderstood. Selling high isnt about trading say Cam Newton or Stevie Johnson who are playing very well. Its more about trading players who's value has skyrocketed for a certain reason or situation and you believe cant keep it up. Buying low is much simpler to understand. Its about seeing which players in your eyes have underperformed and for the rest of the way will have higher value than he has when you traded for him. So without further ado, here is the first buy low sell high post of the year. 


Star-divide

 

QBs:

 

Buy Low:

Phillip Rivers: People may say "Phillip Rivers isn’t a buy low he has put up 17 pts 4 of the 5 weeks." While this is true, listen to these players ahead of him currently, Eli Manning. Matt Hassellbeck and Ryan Fitzpatrick. I saw Rivers get traded for Eli and a handcuff (I believe Roy Helu) in one of my leagues. Rivers is still a top 5 QB and with this being his bye week, its is the perfect time to trade for him

Josh Freeman: I posted this is the Hardcore BGN message board but I also want to post this here. Freeman has been struggling don’t get me wrong. Last week he nearly killed me in 2 leagues (Thank god for AP and Pierre Garcon) however, he has one of the easiest schedules starting in week 10:

@GB- 27th against pass

@Ten- 20th against pass

Car- 21st against pass

@Jax- 15th against pass

Dal- 14th against pass

@Car- 21st against pass

@ATL-23rd against pass

That gives him 5 easy matchups, 1 medium matchup and 1 difficult one. Freeman was a top 7 QB last year and don’t be surprised if he finishes the season close to there again with this upcoming schedule.

 

Sell High:

 Eli Manning: Ironically, it was Eli Manning versus Josh Freeman I was arguing on the BGN fantasy league. Eli right now has the 7th most points for a QB and is only 1pt behind Vick and 6pts behind Stafford. However, unlike Freeman who has an easy schedule Manning’s schedule gets very difficult:

@SF- 12th

Phi- 18th (but take away Giants game and its a lot better)

@NO- 25th

GB- 27th

Dal- 14th

Wsh- 6th

NYJ- 2nd

Dal- 14th

 Most importantly, Eli faces 3 top Defenses in the fantasy playoffs. I would sell Eli now because this is as high as his value will ever get.

 Matt Hasselbeck: He is the 8th highest QB scorer right now, however he just lost his leading WR in Kenny Britt. Hasselbeck’s points dropped already last week from 18-12 and except more drops as the season progresses. Hasselbeck is also old and injury prone. He started the season off great and now is the time to capitalize on that by trading him for a player that can help you in the long run.

 

RBs

 

Buy Low:

Daniel Thomas: He is the only back on a team that just lost their starting QB and will be running the ball more and more. Thomas showed flashes in his two prior games scoring 9 and 17. Thomas, I think, is a good bet to finish the year a top 20 RB and right now can be gotten for much less.

Shonn Greene: The Jets are clearly dedicated to the run and it is also clear that Shonn Grenne is the back they like. Greene received 21 carries to LT’s 2. Greene has always broke late and I expect that to happen again this year.

 

Sell High:

 

Jahvid Best: Best has done very well fantasy-wise but if you take away some of his long runs his numbers drop sharply. Best before Monday Night’s game was averaging just over 2.5 yards per carry. He also had two consective single digits weeks. If I was a Best owner I would capitalize on his MNF’s performance and try to acquire top talent (Chris Johnson comes to mind).

Benjarvus Green-Ellis: This is an interesting sell-high because I think he will have value all year. I am saying he is a sell high because I think his value will decrease as the year goes on. The Pats change their Rbs constantly and Steven Ridley has looked good at times. BJGE is still their goalline back so the TDs will be there however, the yards I don’t think will continue. If you can trade him a top WR or QB I would.   

 

WRs

 

Buy Low

Santonio Holmes: He is the number 1 WR on a team that will throw the ball. Holmes looked very good last week and finally looks like he is putting it together. The Jets are a good team that has struggled so far but I think their offense starts rolling soon and this is the perfect time to get him.

Percy Harvin: Ugh. Last week I really thought he was going to go off and instead he got a nice big 2 points. He was even dropped in a league of mine because of it (8 teamer so rather shallow). Owners of him are panicking and you should be able to get him for bench players. Harvin still has potential and at some point will have a breakout game.

 

Sell High

Victor Cruz: He is so overhyped it’s crazy. Cruz made some nice plays the past three weeks but he also did most of this with Manningham banged up. Cruz will come back to earth soon and I would sell high before you have to deal with a inconsistent big play threat that you wouldn’t feel comfortable starting.

Jordy Nelson: I have never been a big fan of his. My issue is that as good as Rodgers is he spreads the wall so much that anyone except Jennings and Finley are inconsistent. When I’m making a starting lineup I try to minimize risk as much as possible and I think as a weekly start Nelson is too much risk for me. However, currently Nelson has put up quality numbers and has high value right now, which is why I say he is a great sell high right now.   

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Agree with all of them. But what are you really going to get by selling high with Hasselbeck? If anyone has ever played fantasy football before, they aren’t going to give you much value. I guess it makes relative sense, but Hasselbeck is mid-tier backup in a 10 team league. Yeah, if you can get something in the top 10 at QB, no brainer. But I just don’t think many people are going to be biting on the Matt Hasselbeck.

by Aaron King on Oct 13, 2011 12:16 AM EDT reply actions  

Nope

and the slightest mistep by Hasselbeck and Locker is coming right in. Hasselbeck has a high “get benched” potential. I was offered Hasselbeck in a few leagues cause i’m desperate for a QB. I think Matt Cassel is a better option and proved me right this past week.

by Mike Will is DoubleDown on Oct 13, 2011 11:52 AM EDT up reply actions  

I don’t think the slightest misstep by Hasselbeck gets him benched. He has been a solid QB in this league for years. The team has started strong, tied for first in the division. So why would they bench a solid option for a rookie? I don’t think that makes much sense at this point.

But that is beside the fact. I am not say that Hasselbeck is a good QB, I was just saying that I can’t imagine you would get much in return. Like, is he that much better than FA. Like Alex Smith, Colt McCoy? No, and I can’t imagine anyone would give you anything of value. It is like saying sell high on Hines Ward or Robert Meachem. If you can get value from them, of course trade them. It would either have to be someone who has a very short memory or someone playing fantasy football for the first time.

by Aaron King on Oct 13, 2011 12:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

Basically, it isn’t considered selling high if everybody expects him to decline.

by Aaron King on Oct 13, 2011 12:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

I was able to deal him for Percy Harvin straight up

in a league of mine. The key with him is targettting a team that has no QB (think the guy with Big Ben or Freeman) and going after a underperformer.

Ag-gres-sive: 1. Ready or likely to attack or confront; characterized by or resulting from aggression; 2. Pursuing one's aims and interests forcefully, sometimes unduly so; 3. THE EAGLES FRONT OFFICE

by Mr.electric10 on Oct 13, 2011 3:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

I’m actually trying to sell high on Matt Hasselbeck

Follow Bleeding Green Nation on Twitter & Facebook. Did you get your copy of the 2011 Eagles Annual yet?

by JasonB on Oct 13, 2011 1:03 AM EDT reply actions  

It’s difficult to still have faith in Percy Harvin. I own him and thought he would break out against the Eric Berry-less Chiefs but nope. He still has not found the end zone on an offensive play.

by ILL Eagle on Oct 13, 2011 1:43 AM EDT reply actions  

Trade Rape!!!

O man I love fantasy football gotta share a story… Talk about Sell high buy low I was able to trade Arian Foster for Ben Tate not 24 hrs after I picked him up from wavers good right just wait it gets better…. I was 2nd on the waver only behind the person I made the trade with.. Gets better that next week foster started n got me a 20 pt game! Just wait gets EVEN BETTER I WAS PLAYING THE PERSON I MADE THE TRADE WITH!! I also got a top 5 tight end in the deal (stupid me thought Marcedes Lewis was gonna have a breakout season) I also picked up cam and threw him in there to sweetin the deal I have no use for him already got Vick and Ryan (traded Flaco for Ryan lol)

by mamba710 on Oct 13, 2011 2:01 AM EDT reply actions  

Defense question...

I have Redskins and Eagles Ds and I can’t decide which to start. Eagles D is terrible but I’m expecting a rebound. And of course they’re going up Rexy. Redskins D is probably going to be shredded by Vick again, but the Eagles might be a turnover machine again. I seriously am having a hard time deciding which to start between the two.

by KCChina on Oct 13, 2011 2:58 AM EDT reply actions  

Lets say

the Eagles D, we are going to get sacks and we are going to rebound, Rex is bound to have a terrible game and it is coming soon. The player only meeting that Avant had yesterday helps this team get their head on striaght, go Eagles D again cause rexy can only do it so long and we know and I hope our coaches know the Redskins are just going to try and run

by DcEagles29 on Oct 13, 2011 8:08 AM EDT up reply actions  

agree

I think (hope) we shut down the redskins this week.

Ag-gres-sive: 1. Ready or likely to attack or confront; characterized by or resulting from aggression; 2. Pursuing one's aims and interests forcefully, sometimes unduly so; 3. THE EAGLES FRONT OFFICE

by Mr.electric10 on Oct 13, 2011 3:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

I have Nelson

And seriously its every other week he has a great game. If you have Nelson on your team, START HIM THIS WEEK!

by HawaiianGreen on Oct 13, 2011 4:08 AM EDT reply actions  

Eric Decker- Sell High?

"When life hands you lemons, make a profit." - Chet Cashley

"Float like a Butterfly, sting like a Bee; Make sure you got the ball in your hands, or else you won’t get a TD." - Joe Theismann

by Ralf E Chubbs on Oct 13, 2011 8:28 AM EDT reply actions  

yeahh ....i think ....

he had his shine already this year plus when eddie royal comes back he’ll be losing targets, i would trade him for wayever i could get right now.

by goldenbird09 on Oct 13, 2011 10:17 AM EDT up reply actions  

Agreed

I have him on my team and he is in 3 proposed trades I have out there.

by Mike Will is DoubleDown on Oct 13, 2011 11:54 AM EDT up reply actions  

Good because I have a 20$ bet nicks and roddy white outperform him by years end

"When life hands you lemons, make a profit." - Chet Cashley

"Float like a Butterfly, sting like a Bee; Make sure you got the ball in your hands, or else you won’t get a TD." - Joe Theismann

by Ralf E Chubbs on Oct 13, 2011 12:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

I cant tell yet

He is the third WR i thought about doing but when I looked closer Tebow actually didnt hurt Lloyd’s value last year and Decker might be okay.

Ag-gres-sive: 1. Ready or likely to attack or confront; characterized by or resulting from aggression; 2. Pursuing one's aims and interests forcefully, sometimes unduly so; 3. THE EAGLES FRONT OFFICE

by Mr.electric10 on Oct 13, 2011 3:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

k

Let me know when you think it’s good to sell him

"When life hands you lemons, make a profit." - Chet Cashley

"Float like a Butterfly, sting like a Bee; Make sure you got the ball in your hands, or else you won’t get a TD." - Joe Theismann

by Ralf E Chubbs on Oct 13, 2011 3:53 PM EDT up reply actions  

What about Mendenhall really

Im in a ten team league with a lineup as is
Newton
McCoy
Gore
Mendenhall
Welker
Maclin
Finley
Janikowski
Buffalo Def

My bench is
McGahee
Battle
Hey-Bey Bey Hey Bey Bey
Nate Washington
Fitzpatrick

you think I should be shopping Mendenhall?

by nowaxxy22 on Oct 13, 2011 9:24 AM EDT up reply actions  

dude.....

u have Shady and Gore……u shud be open at this point to trading mendenhall for a piece of bazooka joe bubble gum and stale bagel lol, i have mendenhall also but my RB situation isnt as good as yours is, only thing i can think and hope for is that at sum point he’s gonna catch fire, and i think theres a great chance hes still gonna finish up with 10+ tds but at this point i cant even give him away in my league, my backs are fuckin hurtin i have mendenhall, beanie wells, hightower, and marshawn lynch, i know i kno pretty ugly……..but get this…..heres my WR’s……Steve Smith(car), Mike Wallace, Dez Bryant, Pierre Garcon, and Jeremy Maclin. 4 of the top 10 fantasy wr’s right now, im trying 2 trade any of them for a quality back but noone will trade with me because im 5-0, QB is drew breezy btw and TE is Vernon, defense is b-more.

by goldenbird09 on Oct 13, 2011 10:22 AM EDT up reply actions  

Probably not the best time to be “shopping” Mendenhall. Not with his injury and lack of production over the first few weeks.

But I do think it’s time to “buy low” on him.

by Smitty2K3 on Oct 13, 2011 4:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

Maybe

Im a little concerned about his injury but more so its his offensive line. His touches are going down and Mendenhall needs a lot of carries to be successful.

Ag-gres-sive: 1. Ready or likely to attack or confront; characterized by or resulting from aggression; 2. Pursuing one's aims and interests forcefully, sometimes unduly so; 3. THE EAGLES FRONT OFFICE

by Mr.electric10 on Oct 13, 2011 3:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

I read somewhere

(Possibly FO? Or PFF? I forget.)

that the Steelers OL’s run blocking has actually not been bad. And that they expect Mendenhall’s production to increase once he’s healthy again.

Idk if he returns to what he was last year. But I just traded Sidney Rice for Mendenhall straight up just on value alone. I didn’t need either player, but I don’t think Sidney ever becomes anything more than a borderline WR2/WR3. Figured Mendenhall’s upside was higher.

by Smitty2K3 on Oct 13, 2011 3:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

Love that deal

Mendenhall is a lot better than Rice

Curious where of found the piece on Mendenhall I have yet to see something positive about his line

Ag-gres-sive: 1. Ready or likely to attack or confront; characterized by or resulting from aggression; 2. Pursuing one's aims and interests forcefully, sometimes unduly so; 3. THE EAGLES FRONT OFFICE

by Mr.electric10 on Oct 13, 2011 11:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

Wish I could help you out. But I can’t find the article (or blurb in an article). But I definitely read something positive. I’d hate to admit it, but it might’ve been our “beloved” “football scientist” KC Joyner who wrote something or tweeted something about it.

by Smitty2K3 on Oct 14, 2011 8:58 AM EDT up reply actions  

Mendenhall carried the ball 420+ times last season (including playoffs)

And with that offensive line blocking? Stay the hell away from him.

by cwel87 on Oct 13, 2011 8:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

Picked up Devery Henderson on the waiver wire after week 1, in a 12 team league.

Traded him for Dwayne Bowe before week 2 begun.

I think my opponent panicked or something. Dwayne Bowe is a solid start in allmost every matchup, due to his size and skill.

by Nils_eaglesfan on Oct 13, 2011 9:23 AM EDT reply actions  

Great deal

perfect sell high buy low

Ag-gres-sive: 1. Ready or likely to attack or confront; characterized by or resulting from aggression; 2. Pursuing one's aims and interests forcefully, sometimes unduly so; 3. THE EAGLES FRONT OFFICE

by Mr.electric10 on Oct 13, 2011 3:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

what?

what the hell are you talking about? Is this about fantasy football?

by philabronc53 on Oct 13, 2011 9:50 AM EDT reply actions  

yes

Ag-gres-sive: 1. Ready or likely to attack or confront; characterized by or resulting from aggression; 2. Pursuing one's aims and interests forcefully, sometimes unduly so; 3. THE EAGLES FRONT OFFICE

by Mr.electric10 on Oct 13, 2011 3:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

I like it when you back your predictions up with stats. Good stuff dude.

Star Ship 7

by thehuntedpossum on Oct 13, 2011 10:39 AM EDT reply actions  

really best for cj?

So after reading this today cj was out on the block in my league. I offered and he countered: best for lt and Johnson. It’s a ppr league and best by far my best fb (I have Greene and stewart too). We also get 4 pts for tes of +40 yrds which both players benefit from. I don’t know if I want to pull the trigger. I know cj has his fb back but he really hasn’t proven himself to be good at all. I could also keep best as a keeper but I can’t keep cj (can’t keep people from the first two rounds)

by Jerry_A on Oct 13, 2011 7:39 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

The keeper part makes it lean Best's way

and you also cant afford to deal best. I like Greene but not a #1 RB

Ag-gres-sive: 1. Ready or likely to attack or confront; characterized by or resulting from aggression; 2. Pursuing one's aims and interests forcefully, sometimes unduly so; 3. THE EAGLES FRONT OFFICE

by Mr.electric10 on Oct 13, 2011 11:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

Chris Johnson probably won't be any good anymore

He strikes me as the kind of person who got paid and will cease giving a shit.

His actions thus far have done nothing but reinforce that hypothesis.

by cwel87 on Oct 13, 2011 8:15 PM EDT reply actions  

He wont be CJ circa 2009 but he will be better than he is now

Also, got his FB back which should help him. Still is a top 15 back. I dont think Best finishes that high

Ag-gres-sive: 1. Ready or likely to attack or confront; characterized by or resulting from aggression; 2. Pursuing one's aims and interests forcefully, sometimes unduly so; 3. THE EAGLES FRONT OFFICE

by Mr.electric10 on Oct 13, 2011 11:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

I’m in a 10-team league with AP, Forte, Calvin, Wallace then a choice of Felix, Mendenhall, Deangelo, and J Stewart as my flex. I’m thinking about trading two of those RBs for an upgrade. Would you consider Chris Johnson enough of an upgrade over those guys? Or should I shoot a little bit higher? And which RB would you try to hold onto the most for the long-run?

by Smitty2K3 on Oct 14, 2011 9:06 AM EDT up reply actions  

I would package Deangelo and Felix for Cj. Hate both the guys your selling rest of the way and Cj is going ot be better

Ag-gres-sive: 1. Ready or likely to attack or confront; characterized by or resulting from aggression; 2. Pursuing one's aims and interests forcefully, sometimes unduly so; 3. THE EAGLES FRONT OFFICE

by Mr.electric10 on Oct 14, 2011 3:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

Would any of you make this trade:

Selling – Decker and V. Davis
Buying – Nicks

I have Gates still and E. Moore is probably the best fa TE available. My WR’s would be STACKED megatron/Wallace/Nicks/AJ Green. Able to start all 4, 3 wr + 1 flex.

by Shawsage on Oct 14, 2011 2:59 AM EDT via mobile reply actions  

That’s great value. If you can afford to lose Davis (if you trust Gates comes back and plays well the rest of the way) then I would do that trade in a second.

by Smitty2K3 on Oct 14, 2011 9:00 AM EDT up reply actions  

Ya I think losing Davis wouldn’t be too big of a hit for me. Gates will back and should be strong come playoff time. I won’t have a problem making the playoffs. After looking again last night there are actually some decent TE’s available for me; Heath Miller, Greshem, Chandler, Dickson. Plus with all the byes coming up here I’m sure somebody in my league is gonna have to drop one they’d normally rather not.

It’s my cousin in the league and he is in dead last with a terrible team, I offered it this morning….now hopefully it clears the veto process.

by Shawsage on Oct 14, 2011 11:27 AM EDT up reply actions  

Great deal

only issue is cheering for a giant the rest of the year….

Ag-gres-sive: 1. Ready or likely to attack or confront; characterized by or resulting from aggression; 2. Pursuing one's aims and interests forcefully, sometimes unduly so; 3. THE EAGLES FRONT OFFICE

by Mr.electric10 on Oct 14, 2011 3:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

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