"The risks are huge. McNabb still might have a really good year or two left in him. He’ll be highly motivated and could embarrass Reid by beating the Eagles twice this year and finishing with a better record, maybe making the playoffs while Reid misses out. Imagine the reaction among the Eagles’ fan base if that happens. Now look at the flip side. By defying NFL conventional wisdom, Reid has foisted upon a rival a star player he’s judged for imminent decline, and at a substantial cost to that rival’s future. Reid is betting that in two years his franchise will be much better off with Kolb and the draft picks than with an old McNabb. If he’s weakened the Redskins over the longer term, so much the better."