FanPost

If you wanna argue, here are the #s



Here is a breakdown of how both teams offenses and defenses have responded to their opponents averages.  The opponent is listed to the left.  The top line shows how many points their offense scores on average, followed by how many points the Bears or Eagles actually allowed.  The differential is in parentheses.  The middle line is the same, but opposite.  It shows how many points the opponent gives up on average, followed by how many points the Bears or Eagles actually managed.  The TOTAL differential accounting for both offense and defense performances are given as a 3rd line.

A differential of "0" is EXACTLY average.  A positive number correlates to how many points better than average the unit performed, and a negative number indicates how many points worse than average.

I.E. The fact that the Eagles managed 28 points against Jacksonville is only a +1 since they allow 27 points on average.

I.E. The fact that Chicago held Dallas to 20 is only +3.3 since Dallas scores 23.3 on average anyway.

_______________________________________________
First up:  CHICAGO

Detroit     -averages 23.5 pts/gm, Chicago held them to 14 (+9.5)
        -gives up 25.6 pts/gm, Chicago managed 19 (-6.6)
        -differential: (+2.9)

Dallas        -averages 23.3 pts/gm, held to 20 (+3.3)
        -gives up 27.4 pts/gm, managed 27 (-.4)
        -differential (+2.9)

Green Bay    -averages 25.2 pts, held to 17 (+8.2)
        -gives up 14.6, managed 20 (+5.4)
        -differential (+13.6)

NYG        -averages 25.3 pts, held to 17 (+8.3)
        -gives up 22 pts, managed 3 (-19)
        -diff (-8.7)

Carolina    -averages 11.7 pts, held to 6 (+5.7)
        -gives up 25.2 pts, managed 23 (-2.2)
        -diff (+3.5)

Seattle    -averages 18.5 pts, held to 23 (-4.5)
        -gives up 23.3, managed 20 (-3.3)
        -diff (-7.7)

Wash        -averages 20.2, held to 17 (+3.2)
        -gives up 24.5, managed 14 (-10.5)
        -diff (-7.3)

Buf        -averages 21.3, held to 19 (+2.3)
        -gives up 27.6, managed 22 (-5.6)
        -diff (-3.3)

Minn        -avgs 17.2, held to 13 (+4.2)
        -allows 22.6, managed 27 (+4.4)
        -diff (+8.6)

Miami        -avgs 17.2, held to 0 (+17.2)
        -allows 20.8, managed 16 (-4.8)
        -diff (+12.8)
____________________________________________________
Now the Eagles:

Green Bay    -avgs 25.2 pts, held to 27 (-1.8)
        -allows 14.6 pts, managed 20 (+5.4)
        -diff (+3.6)

Detroit    -avgs 23.5, held to 32 (-8.5)
        -allows 25.6, we managed 35 (+9.4)
        -diff (+0.9)

Jax        -avgs 22, held to 3 (+19)
        -allows 27, we managed 28 (+1)
        -diff (+20)

Wash        -avgs 20.2, held to 17 (+3.2)
        -allows 24.5, we managed 12 (-12.5)
        -diff (-9.3)

San Fran    -avgs 16 pts/gm, held to 24 (-8)
        -allows 21.9, we scored 27 (+5.1)
        -diff (-2.9)

Atlanta    -avgs 25.6 pts/gm, they actually scored 17 (+8.6)
        -allow 19.2 pts/gm, we scored 31 (+11.8)
        -diff (+20.4)

Tenn        -avgs 25.7 pts, managed 37 (-11.3)
        -allow 19.8, we scored 19 (-0.8)
        -diff (-12.1)

Indy        -avgs 26.8 pts, managed 24 (+2.8)
        -allows 21.6, we scored 26 (+4.4)
        -diff (+7.2)


Wash        -avgs 20.2, held to 28 (-7.8)
        -allows 24.5, we managed 59 (+34.5)
        -diff (+26.7)

NYG        -avgs 25.3, held to 17 (+8.3)
        -allows 22, we managed 27 (+5)
        -diff (+13.3)

______________________________________________
Bears Defense has been better than average in 9 out of 10 games.  They routinely hold their opponents to 5.74 points less than their opponents usually score.

Bears Offense has been better than average in 2 out of 10 games.  They routinely score 4.26 points LESS than their opponents usually allow.

Bears Team has been better than average overall in 6 out of 10 games.

Eagles Defense has been better than average in 6 out of 10 games.  They routinely hold their opponents to 0.45 points less than they usually score, which is so close to zero, you can safely say that Eagles opponents score what they usually score.

Eagles Offense has been better than average in 8 out of 10 games.  They routinely score 6.33 points more than their opponents usually allow.

Eagles Team has been better than average overall in 8 out of 10 games.
_____________________________________________

Take this for what it’s worth, but there’s a lot that can be said here.

Chicago usually scores 19.1, and our defense would usually allow you 19.  We usually allow 22.6 and you usually score 4 points less...so I'd expect you to score 17-21

Eagles usually score 28.4, and while Chicago would allow us 23, we usually score 6 more than the 14.6 allowed, so look for the Eagles to score 21-23

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