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Around SBN: How The Kings Beat The Coyotes: Lather, Rinse, Repeat

Bad Decision Metrics

Bad Decision Metrics is an indisputably sound statistical model for figuring out things about football and life.

Star-divide

"a bad decision is defined as when a quarterback makes a mistake with the ball that leads to a turnover or a near turnover"

I have been thinking about this quote all day and I get it.  You guys who have been needlessly berating KC Joyner should be ashamed, not to mention stripped of your fanhood.  To wit: take the following play. 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7xMDIcsUMmA

What you THINK you see is the ball carrier running in for a touchdown after a deflected pass.  What my best friend K.C. Joyner and I see is a bit different.  You see, Bradshaw is almost sacked (and forced to fumble) by three separate defensive linemen.  He also throws a ball into traffic (which counts for two interceptions) where it is deflected (nearly intercepted) by Jack Tatum.  Then Franco Harris grabs the ball and runs it in.  Bradshaw's line on the play: Three fumbles, three interceptions, one TD. 

Here's another:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mfebpLfAt8g

6 fumbles for turnovers, one successfully played post-game song, one TD.

Here's another (one that should be memorable in the hearts and minds of all Eagles fans.  But you only THINK you remember what really happened)

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QOEq7p4r00U

Ball is forced into triple coverage.  BDM's rule is as follows: 3 defenders x 2 interceptions per defender per ball thrown into coverage=6 interceptions on the play.  Packers ball.

Here's another:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T7pQLBHTxO8

But, if you check the tape, the awkward rope action leads to an almost THIS:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F54rqDh2mWA

This one time, I was in a bar where I asked these two girls if they wanted a threesome and they said no, but I think they almost said yes, so it counts.  By the same token, that same night a guy tripped and fell bumping into me.  Normally, that wouldn't count as gay sex, but since I've decided to live my life the BDM way, I guess I've gotta take the good with the bad.

Anyone who is not convinced that almost mistakes are actual mistakes is a fucking idiot.

Happy Thanksgiving.

Comment 24 comments  |  25 recs  | 

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rec’d

"World Champions...World F***in Champions" -Chase Utley

by Kevin_S on Nov 24, 2010 7:28 PM EST reply actions  

This guy knows about bad decisions

And he endorses this post.

Bleeding Green Nation -- Home of the REAL Slim Shady
36-5-20-JJ Bleeding Green Forever

by DeSean10 on Nov 24, 2010 7:38 PM EST reply actions   1 recs

Powerful Posting, fam. rec'd.

this opens up a whole new way to view life, now.

by poetx on Nov 24, 2010 7:43 PM EST reply actions  

I want to disagree with this so bad, but I can’t. This really does open up a whole can of worms.

Smokey, this is not 'Nam.

by Wormburn on Nov 24, 2010 8:10 PM EST reply actions  

Well that pretty much outdid the shit out of my KC Joyner is an idiot post. I’d rec it but i’m on my phone. Happy Thanksgiving EB.

by JimmyK on Nov 24, 2010 8:13 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

Happy Thanksgiving Jimmy

"Andy Reid is a huge fraud"--EJ from 97.5

by EvilBanner on Nov 25, 2010 8:38 PM EST up reply actions  

Can someone post a link that explains the BDM? I can’t find one.

Smokey, this is not 'Nam.

by Wormburn on Nov 24, 2010 8:36 PM EST reply actions  

woww, thats all i can say in a good way

McNabb + votes = Honolulu = 3rd rounder, Lets get em Tiger!
draft pick awareness week starts week 8 with voting mcnabb into the probowl
project donolulu-JimmyK

by dday on Nov 24, 2010 9:09 PM EST reply actions  

oh yeah rec the shit out of this post

McNabb + votes = Honolulu = 3rd rounder, Lets get em Tiger!
draft pick awareness week starts week 8 with voting mcnabb into the probowl
project donolulu-JimmyK

by dday on Nov 24, 2010 9:09 PM EST reply actions  

Awesome post

Through your expert analysis I now get it. EVERYTHING is a complete crap shoot.

I hope I am wrong, but Kolb is a four-letter word.

by Cowboy KILLER on Nov 24, 2010 11:48 PM EST reply actions  

See what happens when you use your evil for good?

BTW, McCoy’s TD run last week doesn’t count because Vick almost fumbled the snap.

I love pit-bulls, and I love Vick too. I'm a complicated man.

by oldasquick on Nov 25, 2010 7:44 AM EST reply actions  

Hi

larious

rec’d

Formerly... "You don't have to be sweet, to be good"

by Ed Van Chimp on Nov 25, 2010 8:17 AM EST reply actions  

Son of a bitch

it’s all so clear now.

See, before I just didn’t understand. THIS is brilliant!!!!

LOL

and

Rec’d

"EFF YOU, WE'RE WINNING ANYWAY!!!!!!" (Bye, Dawk)

by jalarsen1 on Nov 25, 2010 9:39 AM EST reply actions  

Wow.

According to this metric, I am almost a total stud. :)

by dweebowitz on Nov 25, 2010 12:40 PM EST reply actions  

speechless...

We need you in the White House, Stat.

by Ralf E Chubbs on Nov 25, 2010 2:08 PM EST reply actions  

So if

“almost mistakes are actual mistakes”, then what youre saying is an “almost miss is an actual miss”.

Say I hit you in the face for being an idiot, but I almost miss you, I just hit the side of your face instead of square in the middle….. Your face is still gonna hurt dude, it may not knock you out, but its still a hit….and not a miss!
 

FLY #7 FLY !!!

by BWestFactor on Nov 25, 2010 3:26 PM EST reply actions  

???

"Andy Reid is a huge fraud"--EJ from 97.5

by EvilBanner on Nov 25, 2010 8:37 PM EST up reply actions  

It seems as though he didn’t get the joke. But maybe I’m wrong.

Bleeding Green Nation -- Home of the REAL Slim Shady
36-5-20-JJ Bleeding Green Forever

by DeSean10 on Nov 25, 2010 9:40 PM EST up reply actions  

I almost understood this

nice comment!

Ithaca has given you the beautiful journey.
Without her you would not have set out on the road.
Nothing more has she got to give you.
And if you find her threadbare, Ithaca has not deceived you.
Wise as you have become, with so much experience,
you must already have understood what Ithacas mean.
-cavafy

by einman77 on Nov 25, 2010 9:37 PM EST up reply actions  

Just playin along dude

FLY #7 FLY !!!

by BWestFactor on Nov 25, 2010 10:28 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

i’m with you.

he gets it folks.

Smokey, this is not 'Nam.

by Wormburn on Nov 25, 2010 10:36 PM EST up reply actions  

rec moreeee!!!

McNabb + votes = Honolulu = 3rd rounder, Lets get em Tiger!
draft pick awareness week starts week 8 with voting mcnabb into the probowl
project donolulu-JimmyK

by dday on Nov 25, 2010 9:51 PM EST reply actions  

Wow, almost as many rec’s as comments. That’s is a strong average. On the Good Decision Metric scale, it’s obvious I made a good decision to read this. Thanks, EB!

"i know talent .. the eagles do not " – JIBTA

by J800 on Nov 26, 2010 10:04 AM EST reply actions  

Counter Point

Does the Avant Touchdown drop count as a Good Decision/Pseudo Touchdown?

by Dr B on Nov 26, 2010 2:36 PM EST reply actions   1 recs

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