FanPost

Bad Decision Metrics

Bad Decision Metrics is an indisputably sound statistical model for figuring out things about football and life.

"a bad decision is defined as when a quarterback makes a mistake with the ball that leads to a turnover or a near turnover"

I have been thinking about this quote all day and I get it.  You guys who have been needlessly berating KC Joyner should be ashamed, not to mention stripped of your fanhood.  To wit: take the following play. 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7xMDIcsUMmA

What you THINK you see is the ball carrier running in for a touchdown after a deflected pass.  What my best friend K.C. Joyner and I see is a bit different.  You see, Bradshaw is almost sacked (and forced to fumble) by three separate defensive linemen.  He also throws a ball into traffic (which counts for two interceptions) where it is deflected (nearly intercepted) by Jack Tatum.  Then Franco Harris grabs the ball and runs it in.  Bradshaw's line on the play: Three fumbles, three interceptions, one TD. 

Here's another:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mfebpLfAt8g

6 fumbles for turnovers, one successfully played post-game song, one TD.

Here's another (one that should be memorable in the hearts and minds of all Eagles fans.  But you only THINK you remember what really happened)

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QOEq7p4r00U

Ball is forced into triple coverage.  BDM's rule is as follows: 3 defenders x 2 interceptions per defender per ball thrown into coverage=6 interceptions on the play.  Packers ball.

Here's another:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T7pQLBHTxO8

But, if you check the tape, the awkward rope action leads to an almost THIS:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F54rqDh2mWA

This one time, I was in a bar where I asked these two girls if they wanted a threesome and they said no, but I think they almost said yes, so it counts.  By the same token, that same night a guy tripped and fell bumping into me.  Normally, that wouldn't count as gay sex, but since I've decided to live my life the BDM way, I guess I've gotta take the good with the bad.

Anyone who is not convinced that almost mistakes are actual mistakes is a fucking idiot.

Happy Thanksgiving.

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