The Linc 4.11.09 - No sweaty back guy edition
by JasonB on Apr 11, 2009 12:51 PM EDT
in News
17 comments
Time for a weekend edition of the Linc, this time with cute Eagles girls back by popular demand... sorry sweaty backed tattoo guy.
I got a chance to review a brand new mock draft app on the itunes store. It's a app for your ipod/iphone that lets you run your own 7 round mock draft, follow the actual draft live, and get lots of info about prospects as well as highlight videos. I did our own BGN community mock draft on the app and posted it here. I really think it's a lot of fun. For for more info on the app and to try it for free check out the Mock Draft App website. (MockDraftApp.com)
Hank Baskett took his bride to be to the shooting range to learn how to... shoot. She blogged about the experience and posted a bunch of a photos. (KendraWilkinson.com)
She also posted a pic of herself in a thong, if you're into that sort of thing... (700 Level)
The Chiefs may be interested in a cut price deal for the #4 pick with the Eagles. (Warpaint Illustrated)
Are you pregnant? Love the Eagles? Donovan McNabb's wife is throwing you a baby shower. (Channel 5)
An interesting take on the death of print media and the birth of the new blogosphere. (Maize n' Brew)
Making fun of Inky columnist Bob Ford for defending Ryan Fitzpatrick. (Iggles Blog)
In an offseason where we're still searching for our next great TE, here's a look at the greatest to ever play the position for the Eagles. Hall of famer Pete Pihos. (Eagles Eye)
According to one ESPN reporter the Eagles and Bills have had no discussions over LT Jason Peters. (Eagles Rumors)
A certain Cowboys TE may be better off if he didn't blog. (Don't Boo the Birds)
Here's a look at the recent players drafted at #21, where the Eagles are set to make their first selection. (Inside the Iggles)
This is an older post, but I thought it was funny the site referred to the Eagles latest signing as "Actual Fullback" Leonard Weaver. I may have to use that one! (Sports on Broad)
Here's a list of players the Eagles have worked out or had contact with heading up to this month's draft. (Moving the Chains)
Finally, what would an edition of The Linc be without a gallery of photos of Megan Fox walking around? (WWTDD)
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I'm not a fan of moving up in any draft
Especially not this year. The difference between Monroe and Britton is not worth the sacrifice of another first-round caliber player like Knowshon Moreno. This isn’t even my opinion, it’s pretty much fact.
by cwel87 on Apr 11, 2009 12:57 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Um.
This isn’t even my opinion, it’s pretty much fact.
You can never say that about anything regarding the draft, not when 50% of all first round players turn out to be busts.
by ajay on Apr 11, 2009 1:10 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yes I can.
If you have two picks in the first round, that’s 50% chance + 50% chance. That allows for ~ a 75% shot at hitting on at least one of the two picks. One pick is a 50% chance. The difference between the first pick of the draft down to about the 70th pick is team scouting. And invested money.
It’s fact.
by cwel87 on Apr 11, 2009 8:22 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
If you have two picks in the first round, that’s 50% chance + 50% chance. That allows for ~ a 75% shot at hitting on at least one of the two picks. One pick is a 50% chance. The difference between the first pick of the draft down to about the 70th pick is team scouting. And invested money.
It’s fact.
Um… no. You’re pretty wrong here. I’m not going to break down the concept of probability here for you, but let’s look at a simple example. If you flip a coin, it’s a 50/50 chance it’s heads. Say it comes up heads. If you flip it again, it’s still only a 50/50 chance that it comes up tails the next time. Just because you got heads the first time doesn’t mean your chances of tails increase the second time.
"I tried to run him over but Eli had his big boy pads on and he kind of stopped me from getting in the end zone. The next time I’ll try to jump over his head.’’ - Asante Samuel
by foos05 on Apr 12, 2009 8:14 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
even further if you look at the picks as two separate coins the probability of flipping heads on both is 1/2 X 1/2 = 1/4 so his logic was flawed from the word Yes.
"I need to do a better job of putting players in the right position to perennially come up short of expectations"
by Whodie126 on Apr 12, 2009 9:39 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Actually
I think he was saying you have a 75% chance of one of two picks succeeding….which, if that’s what he’s arguing, is correct. Your application of probability is flawed. Yes, each individual probability is 50/50, but when both picks are viewed in succession, the chances of AT LEAST ONE succeeding is greater than 50%. And what Whodie below just computed was the probability of BOTH (or neither) picks succeeding.
In this case since it’s 50/50, the probability of both / neither picks succeeding = .5 *.5 = .25
The probability of at least one pick succeeding is 1-.25 = .75
So, when you flip a coin twice in a row, the chances that one of those two flips (or in the case, draft picks) will be heads (NOT a bust) is greater than the individual probability of 50/50.
by Screen Name 20 on Apr 13, 2009 9:31 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I wouldn’t crucify the Eagles if they said, Listen Chiefs, If Monroe is there at 4 we’ll give you both of our firsts. There’s nothing further to negotiate, if you’re interested we’ll pull the trigger, if you’re not we’ll make do with what we have.
Because the talent is going to be pretty solid in the 20-30 range, I’m throwing the value chart out this year. Win win situation either way.
by andyreidswaistline on Apr 11, 2009 2:44 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Plus
Tom Heckert said that now a days it costs less than ever to move up into the early 1st round because teams don’t want to make a massive financial commitment to unproven players. You could theoretically get a guy like Monroe with only a 1st and a 2nd. That would still leave us with a 1st rounder.
by ajay on Apr 11, 2009 3:53 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
That scenario
Is wayyy too optimistic – even all things considering…
by andyreidswaistline on Apr 12, 2009 8:39 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
If we can get our next 10 or so year starting LT we need to take that opportunity
I understand what you all are saying but a LT is more important than a back up running back and I don’t think that any of the lower first round LT are guaranties.
by homestar2281 on Apr 11, 2009 3:02 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'd love to see the next 10-year LT ...
… but I think “backup running back” is a guy who splits time with Westbrook and is groomed to eventually take over.
Is a 7-year RB more of a need now than a potential 10-year tackle? Hard to say … either one could flame out.
Still waiting for the Eagles to Bring It Home For Jerome
by D3Keith on Apr 11, 2009 7:37 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't like Monroe's hit-chance any more than I like Britton's.
Granted, Monroe has HoF-potential as opposed to a couple potential All-Pro seasons from Britton, but it’s about winning football games, and giving our running game more versatility as well as our line a potential force is, in my opinion, going to help us more.
by cwel87 on Apr 11, 2009 8:29 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well thats just insane. Monroe is the guy who was so good it moved Alberts to G. Britton and Smith have been labeled better tackle prospects then Jake Long was last year.
Britton is a little to goofy footed to be that good.
by Clyde Simmons on Apr 14, 2009 1:19 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
agreed I think Monroe is the only true number 1 pick in this draft (hence why I took him number 1 overall)
"The 0-2 pitch, swing and a miss! STRUCK HIM OUT! The Philadelphia Phillies are 2008 World Champions of baseball! And let the city celebrate! " - Harry Kalas 1936-2009
by Whodie126 on Apr 14, 2009 1:35 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Martellus Bennett
His commentary about women farting (femfarts) might be even better than South Park’s.
Jason, thanks for the return of cute Eagles girls. I can resume adding pages to the book of women I can marry.
by Big Silly on Apr 11, 2009 3:10 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
The Maize & Brew thing ...
… is a long but interesting take on the future of sports blogging if the MSM is no longer there to feed it items. Interesting because it doesn’t hand-feed you a conclusion …
Still waiting for the Eagles to Bring It Home For Jerome
by D3Keith on Apr 11, 2009 7:35 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
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