49-ers game prediction thread
by NJBammer on Dec 18, 2009 9:59 AM EST
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PrintSee here for last week's thread, where I didn't do too badly in my final prediction (34-20, also predicting a DJax punt return TD). Of course, if I had been totally off, there's little chance I would be linking to it, would there?
Anyway, with a little help from DVOA, here's what I see:
What the Eagles do well - wrapped up from last week, we do almost everything well on offense, trying to take what is given and strike for big plays. On defense, despite a weak performance last week we have been a top unit all season long. If our D has any weak spot, it's in covering RB's in the passing game, and we're only ok in covering TEs.
What about the 49-ers?
Overall, a below average team, with a poor offense and a good defense. Since Smith took over, their offense has improved, though they are still not a great unit.
On offense, they have a TE with a lot of TDs, though his catch rate (catches/thrown to) is only 61%, not at an elite level (Gates is at 73%, Clark at 77%). Their RB is good, and will catch the ball out of the backfield. Their OL gives up a lot of sacks (8.6% of pass plays result in sacks, "good" for 27th in the NFL).
On defense, they are good both against the run and the pass. The good news is they have 2 glaring weaknesses, defending #1 WRs, and defending passes to RBs. Hmmmmm, do you know any team with a really good #1 WR, and a coach who loves to throw the ball to his RBs?
Predictions: Trent has a mad-on after being mugged with impunity last week in New York. He'll have at least 2 sacks. DJax will run free against their secondary, and McCoy will likely have a big game at least in the receiving area this week. Our D has been very good against the running game all year, and this weekend will likely be no exception. Expect a big game from Gore and TE Davis in catching passes, though. In the end, I see Smith throwing a couple of INTs, and just falling short.
Final score:
Eagles 24
49-ers 19
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Gore and Davis...
Agreed that they have a nice matchup advantage against us with those 2 guys on our backers.
But if they want to run that spread offense against our blitzing D… well, good luck.
I think our D gets a few turnovers, maybe a score, and rebounds from the attrocious night they had at the Meadowlands last week.
More of the same on offense – We’ll look to exploit Dre Bly and Michael Lewis downfield.
I realize the Niners beat the Cards last week (a nice win for sure), but they simply don’t have the horses to stay with us.
Eagles – 30
Niners – 16
Eagles – 34
49ers – 20
Crabtree and Gore get touchdowns, Davis gets a bunch of yards.
On our side, Sean Jones rebounds with a pick-six, Celek & Avant catch TDs, Vick and Weaver each run in a TD.
"THIS IS NOT COLLEGE NO MORE. THIS IS THE BIG MAN SPORT." ~Crazy Lady on BGN forums
On our side, Sean Jones rebounds with a pick-six, Celek & Avant catch TDs, Vick and Weaver each run in a TD.
Just realized my math doesn’t add up, but eff it we’re winning anyway.
"THIS IS NOT COLLEGE NO MORE. THIS IS THE BIG MAN SPORT." ~Crazy Lady on BGN forums
by southjersey89 on Dec 18, 2009 11:46 AM EST up reply actions
If the Niners win
That will likely be the score. When the Eagles lose, it’s usually because they have to settle for field goals instead of touchdowns.
Interesting
24 is the max we can score, so if at any point during the game you surpass 24, you know you have a win.
by mr. instigator on Dec 18, 2009 8:38 PM EST up reply actions
Going into the Giants game
I was more excited about this team than I have been all year, and we didn’t disappoint.
I think we keep rolling big here:
Eagles 31
Niners 13
"What did it feel like? That collision, I didn't feel nothing, because he was pretty much defenseless. It was like running through a cardboard box. Seriously. Cardboard box."- Sheldon Brown on his pounding of Reggie Bush in the '06 Playoffs
Crabtree 2 TD’s
Vick one TD (either rushing or passing)
McNabb 1 passing TD
McCoy had 100+ yd game
Sheldon Brown and Assante Samuel each with a pick
Final score
Eagles 23 (3 field goals by akers)
49ers 14
by worldphuckinchamps on Dec 18, 2009 1:25 PM EST reply actions
Devil's Advocate
Honestly, after the falcons win I looked at our season and thought we’d finish 11-5. I think this is our 5th loss. They have a good TE, a position that has given us a lot of trouble. They also have a great running back in Frank Gore. Our D looked pretty soft last week against the Giants. The offense might struggle without Maclin to compliment Jackson and if Jackson gets shut down, I feel like our whole offense will get blown out of sync.
I’m a diehard Eagles fan, but I think this is the misstep that gets us refocused on the playoffs.
28-24, Niners.
by RunyanRemembered on Dec 18, 2009 1:32 PM EST reply actions
I agree
Except that i don’t think the niners will be the 5th loss, i think denver will be the 5th loss. We all know Big Red’s record against the afc and the broncos will still be playing hard. Also, nfc wins are much more important right now than wins against afc teams.
by PhilsForever on Dec 18, 2009 5:38 PM EST up reply actions
After a 57 yard TD reception Djax will give the Fat Man a chest bump so Fierce that the cheesesteak Reid lost in his gut 2 months ago falls out prompting him to inhale it so quickly that Kobayashi comes down onto the field to ask for pointers.
Seriously though, I’m a little worried about our ability to cover Vernon Davis but I think we will do a solid job keeping Frank Gore contained. I think we go down early but manage to put together one of those 4th quarter comebacks that we have seen so many of lately and win it.
31- 27 E-A-G-L-E-S EAGLES!!!
im glad the 49ers pounded the cardinals, cause i think that will get our attention. they should know we can’t overlook them.
The fans are certainly overlooking them
What we've got here is a failure to communicate.
by SportsChicken on Dec 18, 2009 2:24 PM EST up reply actions
I am nervous about this game
I think the Eagles will be sluggish out of the gate.
The 49ers will come out hot, scoring two first-half touchdowns behind big plays from Davis and Crabtree and ball control from Gore. 17-10 at the half the Eagles will trail.
In the locker room, I think some adjustments will be made. Eagles come out and score twice to take a 24-17 lead, and Smith throws a late pick to seal it. 31-24 Eagles
Do you guys remember
The game last year, where you came to the ’Stick? It was a pretty good game, with a few lead changes and all…
We had a 26-17 lead going into the 4th quarter, and then we started Fing up, mainly because our QB (JT O’Sullivan) fumbled and threw a pick. We were still in it though, down by 7 with over a minute left.
How different is the ’09 version from that ’08 team?
I felt like we matched up pretty well, even with a garbage QB and an OC that called plays as if we had the ’99 Rams personell. Not to mention our Head coach was a ’tard and our D was average at best.
Hate to say this...
but it might be the weather that beats us this week. Snow! We know we’re getting a heavy dose of Gore. I dont know if last weeks weather was a factor or not….but it sure will be this week. Don’t know how effective we could be with all our speed and really I’m nervous about our tackling. Oh well, give Dream 20-25 touches and Eldra 10-15….give SF something they didnt gameplan for. Go Iggles! 24-17
I've been sayin wait til next year for 31 years....
R.I.P. JJ
the way i see it...
jackson will return 5 punts for tds, mcnabb will have 9, vick will have 4, mccoy and weaver will run for 6 each, and akers will kick 12 field goals… plus 3 safeties and 4 pick 6’s.
my final score?
eagles – 280
49ers – 0
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