FanPost

Just Lying to Myself

Having now driven the Eagles Bandwagon off a cliff, let me know look back and criticize myself for not being more realistic about the trends against the Eagles in this game.

 

Trend 1) Eagles in NFC Championship are now 1-4.

Trend 2) Eagles never won more than three games in a row this season.  Cowboys, Vikings, Giants wins = Loss to Cardinals.

Trend 3) The Cardinals scored 31, 41, 30, 29, 29, 34, 14, 34, and 30 points at home this season before hanging 32 on the Eagles.  Should we really have been surprised that the 8 of 9 side held?

Trend 4) The Cardinals allowed 10, 17. 24, 24, 37, 10, 35, 21 and 24 points at home this season before allowing 25 by the Eagles.  Should we really have been surprised that the 7 of 9 side held?

Trend 5) The Cardinals were 8-2 at home this season.  The Eagles were 5-5-1 on the road.

Trend 6) The Eagles scored 37, 20, 40, 26, 13, 7, 20, 3, 26, 23 points on the road before scoring 25 at Arizona.  Should we really have been surprised that the 2-8 side held?

Trend 7) Teams that knock off the Super Bowl Champs in the playoffs are 3-14 the next week (all 3 wins were in the Super Bowl itself - so no team has ever beaten then Champs before the Conference Championship and then won to go on to the Super Bowl).  1971, Dolphins beat the Colts then lose to the Cowboys the next week. 1972, Redskins beat the Cowboys then lose to the Dolphins the next week.  1974, Raiders beat the Dolphins then lose to the Steelers the next week.  1976,  Raiders beat the Steelers then win the Super Bowl the next week.  1977, Broncos beat the Raiders then lose to the Cowboys the next week.  1984, Seahawks beat the Raiders then lose to the Dolphins the next week.  1985, Giants beat the 49ers then lose to the Bears the next week.  1986,  Redskins beat the Bears then lose to the Giants the next week.  1990, Giants beat the 49ers then win the Super Bowl the next week.  1992, 49ers beat the Redskins then lose to the Cowboys the next week.  1994, 49ers beat the Cowboys then win the Super Bowl the next week.  1996, Panthers beat the Cowboys then lose to the Packers the next week.  2000, Saints beat Rams, then lose to Vikings next week.  2001, Steelers beat the Ravens then lose to the Patriots next week.  2005, Broncos beat the Patriots then lose to the Steelers next week.  2007, Chargers beat the Colts then lose to the Patriots the next week.  2008, Eagles beat the Giants then lose to the Cardinals the next week.

Mark Lawrence brough up a lot of this on Howard Eskin's show on Friday evening and an even more dreadful stat about the Eagles being the favorite going against an 0-10 trend, and left me with a sense of foreboding all weekend.  Vegas and the Books laughed all the way to the bank on this game.

 

There was only one shocking trend broken in this game.  The Eagles had allowed 41, 24, 26, 7, 13, 36, 14, 10, 14, 11 points on the road.  The 2-8 side won and the 8-2 side couldn't hold.

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