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The expectations game

Whodie's fanshot about Matt Mosely's statement about the Eagles "exceeding expectations" got me thinking.

What were our expectations for this team?

I think before the season most of us expected the Eagles to be in the postseason. When the other NFC East bloggers and I did our division roundtable I did pick the Eagles to get a wildcard berth. So going by preseason predictions you can certainly say that this team is simply living up to expectations.

That certainly isn't the story being written this week. All we hear is that the Eagles are "exceeding expectations" and "playing with house money."

The problem is that expectations change week by week...

- After the first 3 games of the year the expectations for this team were still pretty high. They'd blown out the Rams on opening day, lost an absolute shootout in Dallas, then beat up the Steelers at the Linc. Expectations = High.

- In that Steeler game Brian Westbrook gets injured. So we head to Chicago to face a 1-2 Bears team and lose. I'm still having nightmares of those goal line 4th downs... Never mind that in addition to losing Westbrook for that game we were also without Curtis, LJ Smith, Reggie Brown(who was still considered a starter), and Shawn Andrews(who had just been lost  2 weeks prior). Then we head home to face the Redskins, go up 14-0 in the first quarter but then proceed to lose the game. Our offense could only muster 3 points in the last quarters and our defense got manhandled in the run game. Afterward, sports writers were already writing our obituary.

The Eagles (2-3) are close to having to look ahead to next season. They were the only NFC East team to miss the playoffs in 2007, finishing last for the second time in three years. With Donovan McNabb healthy coming into this season, they were hoping to make a run at the Super Bowl. Instead, they’re buried in last place again.

I think it's safe to say that by that point... Expectations = Low

- Then, the Eagles started to get a little healthier and ripped off three straight wins. Two were blowouts against poor NFC West teams(Seattle, San Fran) but there was a good win over a solid Atlanta that would go o to make the playoffs in there. At that point the rest of the NFC was still playing well, but we were back above .500 and expectations were looking up a bit. The team's play over the most recent games kinda made us believe that the previous poor stretch was mosty due to inujries. Expectations = Average

- Then came the home matchup with the Giants. We had won three straight, we were feeling pretty good, and we had the division leading superbowl champs at home. A win there would have sent the expectations through the roof. Instead, that game was the start of the low point of the season. We lost to the Giants, then went on the road and tied the lowly Bengals, and finished the three game stretch by getting blown out by the Baltimore Ravens on the road. The Eagles were 5-5-1, McNabb was benched, and they were done. Expectations = Nonexistent

- Then a funny thing started to happen. The playoff bound Cardinals came to the Linc on Thanksgiving and got smoked. It was a ton of fun to watch, but I'm not sure anyone thought that was the start of a run to the postseason. However, when the Eagles beat the Giants in NJ the following week, eyebrows started to rise. The Eagles were 7-5-1 with a very winnable game against Cleveland coming up that would put them back in the thick of the playoff race. By that Monday night, thanks to a Tampa loss, the Eagles had a chance to gain control of their own playoff destiny. They blew out the Browns and moved into the pole position for a wildcard berth. If they beat a freefalling Redskins team and the Cowboys at home, they were in! Expectations = Cautiously optimistic

- So here we are in week 16 of the NFL schedule and the expectations of most Eagles fans were that this team would be in the postseason. All they needed were two wins and they were in. Unfortunately, the Eagles came a yard shy of tying the game in the final second and lost a dismal 10-3 affair to the Redskins. All off a sudden, the Eagles went from controlling their own destiny to needing two other teams to lose along with a win of their own. Aside from the unlikely set of events that would need to happen, the expectations were hrt by the fact that the Eagles just looked like crap against Washington. The offense could only muster three points. Not only did the playoff math look bad, the Eagles just didn't play like a team that were going anywhere. Expectations = All but dead

The rest is history. The stars aligned on that final day, the Eagles destroyed the Cowboys and grabbed an unlikely playoff berth.

So after all that... Are the Eagles a team that has exceeded expectations? What expectations are most important? Preseason? Midseason? Late season?

Poll
Have your expectations for this team been met?
The Eagles have exceeded my expectations
255 votes
The Eagles have met my expectations
201 votes
The Eagles have fallen short of my expectations
46 votes

502 votes | Poll has closed

1 recs  |  Comment 12 comments |

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I sort of have been talking about this in the “Andy Reid Approval Ratings” threads. I voted “No” week after week after they turned things around because despite their turnaround, they’d gotten themselves in a position where it looked like it would take a miracle to make the playoffs.

Then they controlled their own destiny. Then they choked that away, and then got a super miracle.

My expectations at the beginning of the season were, get to the playoffs, and win a game. So…while the road’s been rockier than I’d have hoped, and they needed a lot of help from some friends, I would now say they’ve exceeded my expectations.

But, because I’d mostly written them off after the Baltimore game (please note I continued to watch every second of every game, though. I may be a pessimist, but I don’t consider myself a front-runner), and then after regaining hope, again after the Washington game, there has been some joyous “playing with house money” feeling from this playoff run that wasn’t there in 2002, 2003, and 2004, where expectations were so high that anything less than making the Superbowl was abject failure.

The Garcia playoff run in ‘06 had sort of a similar “back from the dead” thing to it, where even after the loss to the Saints, I wasn’t feeling as down on the team as I was after those last 2 NFC Championship defeats.

I wonder if I can bill Jeff Lurie and Peter Angelos for the years of therapy their teams are going to put me through.

by BrianS on Jan 14, 2009 12:27 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Without a doubt the Eagles fell short of my preseason expectations.

I expected them at least 12-4, but they underperformed in key games – The Bears, the Bengals, the Redskins twice. They split with the Boys and the GMen, as I thought they would.
The thing is, they are still doing it – my biggest frustration is their inefficiency in the running game. I don’t care if the Eagles are 70-30 pass-run if they are efficient when they do run the ball. Westbrook at less than 2 yards per carry and the team at 2.5 in the playoffs is something to be very concerned about.

The birds were given a gift of historic proportion to make it into these playoffs and hopefully they continue to ride the horse, but I am nervous that the team that showed up against the Bears might show up again against Arizona on Sunday.

by cavortingEagle on Jan 14, 2009 12:28 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

there needs to be an “other” stating the following --

“The Eagles have taken me on a long, strange rollercoaster ride this season. As of right now, I’m not sure what the hell I expected… but it wasn’t this. What’s more important? Where you are or how you got there? I say it’s where you are, and keeping that in mind; I don’t care about expectations. Let’s just win two more games.”

"I tried to run him over but Eli had his big boy pads on and he kind of stopped me from getting in the end zone. The next time I’ll try to jump over his head.’’ - Asante Samuel

by foos05 on Jan 14, 2009 12:29 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I don’t care about expectations. Let’s just win two more games.

AMEN.

"I need to do a better job of putting players in the right position to perennially come up short of expectations"

by Whodie126 on Jan 14, 2009 1:31 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I'm a fan, I'm a homer, but I am realistic.

I maybe delusional in the sense that I think we can win the Superbowl every year but that’s the fan in me. Realistically I know you have to evaluate talent and look at strengths and weaknesses.

That is why I honestly expected this to be a team that won the NFC East division and played dominating consistant football all year. In that sense they did not live up to expectations. I also expected them to be a deep playoff team with a shot at the Lombardi trophy and here they are a deep playoff team that is finding a way to win and in that sense they have met my expectations. So I guess I need a both option? but I don’t think they are playing with “house money” (I hate that fucking term) … I think they are where most of us believed they could be and now we expect them to continue doing what we all know they can.

So this has been a rollercoaster ride and I’m really glad to be on it because this just feels like something special. Great post Jason!

"I need to do a better job of putting players in the right position to perennially come up short of expectations"

by Whodie126 on Jan 14, 2009 1:37 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

+1

I agree whodie. The end result of where we are now is exactly what i expect. I thought this team could go toe to toe with anyone in the nfl. I also agree that I am a little disappointed int he regular season schedule so ultimately i am happy with where they are and how they are playing now but i had to vote disappointed just based on record. But with all of that I would rather be SB champs with a crap record than be 18-0 and get punk’d like the pats did

by 0sirys on Jan 14, 2009 1:47 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

But with all of that I would rather be SB champs with a crap record than be 18-0 and get punk’d like the pats did

word

by cavortingEagle on Jan 14, 2009 1:58 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, exactly. This playoff run kind of seems like gravy because I reset my expectations at several points during the season. But overall, meets expectations.

I wonder if I can bill Jeff Lurie and Peter Angelos for the years of therapy their teams are going to put me through.

by BrianS on Jan 14, 2009 2:18 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Expectations...

I believed that the Eagles would be a post season team, but in a particularly difficult division…I expected the Giants to be there, and could have believed the Eagles to be the #2 team in the East, but beating the Cowboys out for that spot would be tough, and the number of tough games in the East would keep them from the wildcard. So making the postseason is not surprising, but Dallas not making it surely was…Fly, Eagles, Fly…

---AstrosFan (Texas Lawyer and Sports Fan

by AstrosFan on Jan 14, 2009 7:15 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

CentSports

cool little free betting site here

you get 10 cents to bet with free, do what you want with it and maybe youll be able to tally up a nice total…some people have been quite successful turing there 10 cent into 100’s of dollars…the site is paid for totally by adds

http://www.centsports.com/?opcode=317843

by RalphieD on Jan 15, 2009 11:57 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

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