FanPost

Are the Eagles Just Unlucky?

The Eagles currently sit near the top of many statistical tables, including most advanced metrics.  They are second in overall DVOA, and in the top ten on both offense and defense.  They are third in the league in point differential, and are in the top ten in both points scored and surrendered per game.  Footballoutsiders predicts that, based on their numbers and schedule, they would average 6.6 wins.  

We all know the results aren't there.  The question is why?  The answer may be that they are just unlucky. 

One argument that the Eagles are unlucky is that opposing kickers are eating them alive.  Opposing kickers have hit 100% of their field goals against the Eagles.  Only the Steelers and Ravens have that same problem.  Unlike those teams, opposing kickers are an amazing 4/4 from 50+ against the Eagles, 9/9 from 40+.

The other traditional luck argument is recovering fumbles.  The Eagles are actually having a good year recovering fumbles, recovering half of their offensive or special teams fumbles (4 of 8) and 7 of the 10 fumbles the defense has caused.

The kicking thing is certainly weird, but can that alone account for the Eagles underperforming their metrics? 

By the way, this site notes that the Eagles were one of the unluckiest teams last seasons:

http://www.advancednflstats.com/2008/01/luckiest-teams-2007.html

The other interesting questions:

Is this just prolonged bad luck, or is there something about this team that brings the bad luck upon these Eagles?  Have they angered the football gods, is Andy just a mush now?

 

 

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